考虑多故障模式的新型装备更新保修费用预测  

Cost prediction of the renewing warranty policy considering multiple failure modes for new equipment

作　　者：贾云献[1] 李欣玥[1] 王鹏 邹效 

机构地区：[1]军械工程学院装备指挥与管理系,河北石家庄050003 [2]Pratt&Whitney可靠性部门,加利福尼亚圣地亚哥92130

出　　处：《系统工程与电子技术》2015年第8期1810-1817,共8页Systems Engineering and Electronics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(71401173);国家社科基金军事学项目(12GJ003-135)资助课题

摘　　要：立足我军装备维修保障实际需求,设计了保修策略体系。然后,在此基础上,针对装备更新保修策略费用难预测问题,结合新型装备多故障模式实际,建立考虑多故障模式的一维更新保修策略费用模型。建立了串联系统、并联系统、混联系统和冷储备系统的多部件多故障模式费用预测模型。最后,以冷储备系统为例进行了案例分析,验证了模型的有效性和实用性,为我军开展军民融合式装备维修保障建设提供理论指导和技术支持。According to the actual requirements of the army maintenance support, a warranty policy system was formulated. Then, aiming at the difficulty of predicting the renewing warranty cost, a cost model for the one-dimen- sional renewing free-repair warranty policy is proposed considering the reality of the equipment＇s multiple failure modes. Multiple failure modes cost models for series, parallel, compound, and cold-standby systems are devel- oped. Finally, a case study,taking certain cold standby system for example, is shown to prove that the proposed models are effective and practical. The results of this method could provide theoretic guidance and technical sup- port to construct the equipment maintenance support under the condition of military-civil integration.

关 键 词：多故障模式 多部件 更新保修 费用模型 

分 类 号：E92[军事—军事装备学] F403.8[兵器科学与技术—武器系统与运用工程]