太原经济圈经济发展的空间格局演变及驱动力分析  

The Spatial Pattern Evolution and Driving Forces Analysis of Taiyuan Economic Circle

作　　者：康江江 丁志伟[1,2] 史琴琴[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]河南大学环境与规划学院,河南开封475004 [2]河南大学黄河中下游数字地理重点实验室,河南开封475004

出　　处：《河南科学》2015年第6期1044-1050,共7页Henan Science

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41271144);河南大学研究生优秀硕士学位论文培育项目(Y1425007)

摘　　要：以人均GDP作为测度指标,利用标准差系数、变异系数、ESDA、空间滞后模型、空间误差模型等方法分析了2000—2013年太原经济圈16个研究单元经济发展水平的差异性以及空间相关性.结果表明:1太原经济圈经济发展水平差异明显,而且绝对差距在逐年增加,相对差距虽呈波动变化但差异值较大.太原市区、榆次区以及煤炭资源丰富的孝义、介休等地经济发展水平高,其他单元发展水平低.216个单元经济发展水平存在正相关性,而且随着时间的推移,这种空间的相关性越来越显著.从2013年的空间自相关分析来看,经济圈西南部存在一个高值集聚区域,在太原市区的西南部有一个低值集聚的"洼陷区域".3从驱动力分析看,经济发展水平与城镇化、工业化、固定资产投资、人力资本等相关性较强.其中,工业化发展程度对经济发展的影响作用最显著,人力资本对经济发展的影响最低.This paper uses per capita GDP as measure index based on the 16 counties of Taiyuan Economic Circle. Firstly,we use standard deviation coefficient and coefficient of variation to decompose the per capita GDP of 16 counties covering the year of 2000-2013. The result show that the level of economic is significantly different and the absolute gap is increasing every year. Although the relative gap fluctuated but the difference value is larger. Secondly ,paper further analyze the spatial correlation and found that there is a positive correlation,and over time,the correlation of this space is increasingly significant. At last,we construct the spatial lag model and spatial error model to explore the influence factors that result in the tremendous disparities within Taiyuan Economic Circle. From the result of model,we think that urbanization,industrialization,investment has strong impact about economic,but the impact of human capital is lowest.

关 键 词：经济发展 空间格局 驱动力 太原经济圈 

分 类 号：K901[历史地理—人文地理学]