加工贸易与全要素生产率--基于供给和需求的分析视角  

Processing Trade And Total Factor Productivity

作　　者：张少华[1] 蒋伟杰[2] 

机构地区：[1]浙江理工大学、浙江省生态文明研究中心,310018 [2]西安交通大学金禾中心,710049

出　　处：《上海经济研究》2015年第6期104-114,122,共12页Shanghai Journal of Economics

基　　金：作者主持的中国博士后科学基金第53批面上资助一等资助(2013M530279);中国博士后科学基金第7批特别资助(2014T70567);浙江省自然科学基金面上一般项目(LY13G030040);浙江省高校人文社会科学重点研究基地浙江理工大学应用经济学基地资金资助(2013YJZD04);浙江理工大学521人才工程资助

摘　　要：该文全面分析了加工贸易的全要素生产率效应及其发生机制。研究发现,无论是总量上,还是进口和出口渠道上,加工贸易都没有促进全要素生产率;研究表明,加工贸易、加工贸易进口和加工贸易出口会显著地抑制技术变化,对效率变化、技术效率变化以及规模混合效率变化没有显著影响。而对于占全国加工贸易比重60%以上的江苏广东两省,加工贸易通过抑制其技术变化显著地抑制了其全要素生产率的增长。这意味着,从事加工贸易表面上虽然可以解决就业促进增长,但是可能无法实现经济的赶超,大规模从事加工贸易甚至是有损效率提升。加工贸易没有显著地促进全要素生产率与中国加工贸易的本质特征以及加工贸易实施的业务方式有关。因此,如何调整贸易方式,如何最大化分享全球化的利益,将是中国经济未来所面临的巨大挑战。This is the first attempt to systematically investigate the effect of total factor productivity in China＇s processing trade.Found in this article,processing trade,import and export of processing trade,they all does not promote the total factor productivity;we also found,the processing trade,imports and exports of processing trade will significantly inhibit technological changes,but changes in efficiency changes in technical efficiency and scale mixing efficiency changes had no significant effect.This article also found no effect of processing trade by foreign-invested enterprises,producer services,as well as fiscal decentralization significantly promotes productivity exist.While Jiangsu and Guangdong provinces in more than 60% of the total national proportion of processing trade,processing trade by inhibiting its technological change significantly inhibited the total factor productivity.The conclusions of this study do not vary with sample selection,model specification,variable selection as well as the endogeneity analysis and change.These findings imply that engaged in processing trade on a large scale can solve the employment promote growth on the surface of the processing trade,but may not be able to achieve economic catch-up,and even undermine the efficiency.Therefore,what participation in the global economy,and how to maximize the benefits of globalization,will be a huge challenge facing the future of the Chinese economy.

关 键 词：加工贸易 Hicks-Moorsteen TFP Indexes 技术变化 

分 类 号：F740[经济管理—国际贸易]