太空威慑与核威慑比较研究  

Comparison between Space Deterrence and Nuclear Deterrence

作　　者：周黎妮[1] 傅中力[1] 王姝[1] 

机构地区：[1]国防科技大学国家安全与军事战略研究中心,湖南长沙410073

出　　处：《国防科技》2015年第3期51-54,共4页National Defense Technology

基　　金：国家社科基金项目(14BGJ028)

摘　　要：冷战时代太空力量成为核威慑的重要组成部分,后冷战时代则逐渐成为相对独立的威慑力量。从太空威慑的发展历程出发,梳理了太空威慑伴随核威慑产生并最终成为独立威慑领域的过程,从威慑基础、先发制人优势和失效机制三方面总结太空威慑与核威慑的相同点,从武器基础、适用范围、失效临界点和失效后果四方面对比太空威慑与核威慑的不同点,提出对建设国家太空威慑体系的初步思考。研究表明:太空威摄经历了诞生、并存、分离和确立四个发展阶段,已经成为国家威摄体系和国家太空安全与战略的重要组成部分。This paper begins with a historical review of the development of deterrence in space. Space deterrence orig- inated as a part of nuclear deterrence before its dependence. The similarities between space deterrence and nuclear deter- rence are summarized from the point of view of foundation of deterrence, priority of first strike, and mechanism of failure. Then the differences between space deterrence and nuclear deterrence are analyzed from the point of view of weapon foun- dation, scope of apphcation, threshold of failure, and consequence of failure. Some thoughts about construction of national space deterrence are represented.The research indicated that the space deterrence experienced the developing stages of generation,coexistence,separation and establishment,and has become an important part in the national deterrence system and national space security strategy.

关 键 词：太空威慑 核威慑 先发制人 失效临界点 

分 类 号：E817[军事—战略学] E816