“带一路”：龙象独行抑或共舞?  

The “Belt and Road”: Will Chinese Dragon and Indian Elephant Walk Separately or Tango Together?

作　　者：甘均先[1] 

机构地区：[1]the Department of Political Science, College of Public Administration, Zhejiang University

出　　处：《国际问题研究》2015年第4期96-113,132,共18页International Studies

基　　金：作者主持的2014年度教育部课题“中美印围绕新丝绸之路的竞争与合作研究”（批准号：14YJCGJW）的阶段性成果

摘　　要：India holds a crucial position in the "Belt and Road" initiative. How India sees the "Belt and Road" and whether it will participate in the construction still remain to be seen. This article analyzes India's attitude toward the "Belt and Road" and the possibility of China and India joining hands for future cooperation.India has a complex perception of the Belt and Road Initiative. India suggests programs like the Monsoon Plan and the Cotton Route in order to gain independent voice in the field of connectivity. Despite the goal to dominate the Indian Ocean, due to the limited economic scale of other countries in the region, the Indian Ocean is not able to accommodate the expansion of India's economy, nor can it become the ideal stage for India to realize its great-nation dream. To release its economic potentials, India must walk out of the Indian Ocean region and promote connectivity with Northeast Asia and Europe. The Belt and Road Initiative is in line with the developing interests of India. The Initiative's vast inclusiveness and huge impact on Asia-European trade will prompt India to participate in cooperation more actively. In future, India will pursue strategic independence and continue to push forward connectivity plans centered on itself. At the same time, India will choose to catch up with the Belt and Road Initiative and achieve a strategy joint to China's.

关 键 词：“一带一路” 印度外交 中印关系 

分 类 号：D822.3[政治法律—政治学] D835.1[政治法律—外交学]