基于模糊多层次灰色法的绿色建筑设计风险评价研究  

Research on risk evaluation of green building design based on fuzzy multi-hierarchical gray method

作　　者：蔡久顺 张执国[1] 师鹏[1] 何泉[2] 

机构地区：[1]空军工程大学装备管理与安全工程学院,陕西西安710051 [2]西安建筑科技大学建筑学院,陕西西安710055

出　　处：《合肥工业大学学报（自然科学版）》2015年第7期968-972,983,共6页Journal of Hefei University of Technology：Natural Science

基　　金："十二五"国家科技支撑计划资助项目(2013BAJ03B04-1)

摘　　要：绿色建筑的设计风险是影响绿色建筑发展的关键制约因素之一。文章分析了绿色建筑的设计目标,参照《绿色建筑评价标准》,构建了绿色建筑设计风险评价的指标体系;针对传统层次风险法的不足和绿色建筑设计风险评价的"灰性"特点,将模糊德尔菲层次分析法和灰色理论结合起来,提出了一种模糊多层次灰色法。实例分析表明,该方法适合于绿色建筑设计风险评价,具有一定的实用价值。The design risk of green building is one of factors which affect the development of green building. In this paper, the design goals of green building are analyzed, and the index system for risk evaluation of green building design is established according to the Evaluation Standard for Green Building. Aiming at the shortcomings of traditional analytic hierarchy process method and the ＂gray characteristics＂ of risk evaluation of green building design, a new fuzzy multi-hierarchical gray method is proposed which integrates fuzzy Delphi analytic hierarchy process method and gray theory. The result of an example shows that this method is suit- able for the risk evaluation of green building design, and is of practical value.

关 键 词：绿色建筑 设计风险 模糊德尔菲层次分析法 灰色理论 

分 类 号：TU201.3[建筑科学—建筑设计及理论]