基于博弈论的甩挂运输发展政策分析  

Analysis on the Development Policy of Drop and Pull Transport Based on Gamey Theory

作　　者：赵鲁华[1] 曹庆贵[2] 李玉善[1] 吕安涛[3] 

机构地区：[1]山东科技大学交通学院,山东青岛266590 [2]山东科技大学矿业与安全工程学院,山东青岛266590 [3]山东省交通科学研究所,山东济南250031

出　　处：《山东科技大学学报（社会科学版）》2015年第4期81-86,共6页Journal of Shandong University of Science and Technology(Social Sciences)

摘　　要：甩挂运输在我国处于起步阶段,很多因素限制了甩挂运输的快速发展,政策措施不完善就是其中一个重要因素。本文通过构建甩挂运输政策措施的扩展型博弈模型和Stackelberg博弈模型,研究发现:政府的政策支持程度、甩挂运输的风险水平及投资水平对运输企业的甩挂运输决策影响较大。因此,基于我国甩挂运输发展初期阶段的特征,我国政府未来应对生产、购置甩挂运输标准车型的企业进行财政补贴、对甩挂运输场站及基础设施建设进行投资、制定对甩挂运输企业的减税及车辆通行费优惠政策、制定适合甩挂车辆的监测维修、报废制度,以及制定适合甩挂运输车辆保险政策。As an advanced mode of transportation,drop and pull transport is in its early stage in China.Many factors limit the rapid development of drop and pull transport,and imperfect policy measures is one of the factors.The paper analysed the development policy measures of drop and pull transport using game theory method,established the expandable game model and Stackelberg game model,and performed solution,analysis based on the two models.The results show that the degree of government＇s policy support,the level of risk in drop and pull transport and the investment level,have bigger influence to the decision of transport enterprises on drop and pull transport.On the primary stage to the development of drop and pull transport,the government should improve the relevant policies and regulations and intensify support for drop and pull transport.On this basis,the paper puts forward policy recommendations for the current development of drop and pull transport in China,which has positive significance to promote the rapid development of drop and pull transport.

关 键 词：公路甩挂运输 扩展型博弈模型 STACKELBERG博弈模型 发展政策 

分 类 号：U492.8[交通运输工程—交通运输规划与管理]