入境旅游规模差异与位序规模体系研究——以江西省为例  

Study on Difference of Inbound Tourism Size and System of Rank-Size Distribution——A Sample From Jiangxi Province

作　　者：万田户[1] 黄和平[1] 

机构地区：[1]华东师范大学商学院,上海200241

出　　处：《华中农业大学学报（社会科学版）》2015年第5期121-127,共7页Journal of Huazhong Agricultural University(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家社会科学基金重点项目"我国反季旅游市场潜力的区域差异与开发策略研究"(12AJY008)

摘　　要：选取江西省11个地市1999-2012年入境旅游接待人次和旅游外汇收入数据,综合运用标准差、变异系数、首位度、赫芬达尔-希斯曼指数、基尼系数及位序规模模型,结合Eviews7.0计量软件,对江西省入境旅游规模差异与位序规模分布进行研究。结果发现:江西省地市入境旅游规模绝对差异不断扩大、相对差异日渐缩小,入境旅游地市首位度在交替发展和波动中呈降低趋势,各地市入境旅游表现出更为激烈的竞争态势;江西省入境旅游符合位序规模分布,由初期明显的首位分布转向集中分布,并有进一步向分散均衡型分布的发展态势。总结出江西省入境旅游规模发展的3种不同趋势(稳步上升型、迂回徘徊型和衰退下滑型),并提出了相应对策。Using Standard Deviation,Coefficient of Variation,Primacy Ration,Herfindal-heasman index,Gini Coefficient,and Rank-size Distribution theory model combined with Eviews 7.0comprehensively,this paper analyzes the difference of inbound tourism size and construction of rank-size distribution of 11 cities in Jiangxi Province based on the data of inbound tourist reception and inbound tourism revenue from 1999 to 2012.Results reveal that the absolute disparity among inbound tourism of cities in Jiangxi Province is expanding,but the relative disparity is narrowing though the city＇s first degree is gradually decreasing with alternative and fluctuating development,and the competition among cities is more intense.Inbound tourism of Jiangxi is in line with the distribution of rank-size,and it has already transformed from the first distribution to the concentration distribution and shows the trend of scattered equilibrium distribution.Finally,three different trends of inbound tourism development in Jiangxi are presented,namely stable rising,circuitous and recession,accordingly the reference measurements are put forward.

关 键 词：入境旅游 旅游规模差异 位序规模分布 首位度 江西省 

分 类 号：F590[经济管理—旅游管理]