海上船舶溢油事故模糊评估与决策分析  

Fuzzy evaluation and decision-making analysis of oil spills from ships

作　　者：岳汉秋[1] 甘鑫平 牟乃夏[3] 钱宏胜[1] 

机构地区：[1]平顶山学院资源与环境科学学院 [2]Esri中国(北京)有限公司 [3]山东科技大学测绘科学与工程学院

出　　处：《环境工程学报》2015年第8期3780-3784,共5页Chinese Journal of Environmental Engineering

基　　金：平顶山学院青年科研基金项目(重点)(PXY-QNJJ-2014003);河南省科技发展计划项目(112102310589)

摘　　要：随着海洋运输业的高速发展,通航环境日趋复杂,船舶溢油事故风险不断加大,溢油事故对环境的破坏已经引起社会各界的高度关注。以青岛市附近海域为研究对象,采用层次分析法确定水文气象情况、清污情况、油污染情况和溢油地点情况评价指标各因子权重,并通过Arc GIS的Model Builder环境建立自动化数据处理流程对研究区域做出了模糊综合评估,得到了溢油区域的事故危害评估结果,为划定事故区域隔离带、规划清污船只航行路径以及降低海上溢油事故影响提供了指导性的依据。The risk of oil spills from ships has been increasing due to the rapid development of marine transportation and a promoting complexity in navigation conditions. The damage caused by oil spills on the envi- ronment has aroused great attentions. Taking the sea areas around Qingdao as research object, this study used the Analytic Hierarchy Process to weight index regarding hydro-meteorologlcal conditions, clean-up conditions, oil-pollution and oil spill location conditions, Then, the established automatic data processing through ArcGIS model builder environment made a fuzzy comprehensive evaluation for the study area, and assessed the environ- mental impacts of oil spills. This study provides insights for the designating buffer zone in accident areas, plan- ning the sailing routes of clean-up vessels, and reducing the impact of oil spills.

关 键 词：溢油事故 模糊评价 层次分析法 MODEL BUILDER 

分 类 号：X55[环境科学与工程—环境工程]