新型城市碳排放环境库兹涅茨曲线检验——基于中国城市面板数据分析  

The Testing of Environment Kuznets Curve for Carbon Emissions of New Cities——Based on the Panel Data Analysisof Citiesin China

作　　者：高广阔[1] 张腾化[1] 马海娟[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海理工大学管理学院,上海200093

出　　处：《经济与管理评论》2015年第4期5-10,共6页Review of Economy and Management

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目"气候变化与中国产业结构调整研究"(项目编号:10BJY005);上海市教育委员会科研创新项目"基于新综合指数测度法的生态文明建设指标体系构建研究"(项目编号:14ZS118)的阶段性成果

摘　　要：经济的快速增长导致经济与环境的矛盾日趋尖锐,环境库兹涅茨曲线的存在性检验一直都是学术界的热点问题。采用新型城市历史面板数据建立环境库兹涅茨曲线模型,结果表明我国新型城市的碳排放量与经济增长之间存在倒N型曲线关系。在发展经济的同时控制碳排量的增长,把人均碳排放量控制在最高点之后,才能实现经济发展和环境改善的双赢发展模式。从国家发展战略与发展思路、产业结构等角度提出改善措施,为构建低碳城市提供政策建议。With the rapid growth of economy, the contradictory between economy and environment has become increasingly acuter, and the existence of the Environmental Kuznets Curve test has been the hot issue in academia. The paper establishes and improves the Environmental Kuznets curve model using New - cities＇historic panel data. The results indicate that the curve of carbon emissions and economic growth of the new - style cities presents inverted N shape. It is necessary to control the growth of carbon emissions firmly while developing the economy, making carbon emissions per capita lower than the highest point to achieve a win - win development model of urban environment improvement and economic development. The paper proposes improving measures from all kinds of perspectives such as the national development strategy and the development ideas, as well as industrial structure to provide policy recommendations for building low-carbon cities.

关 键 词：碳排放 脱钩分析 新型城市 环境库兹涅茨曲线 

分 类 号：F062.2[经济管理—政治经济学]