进口服务中间投入对我国制造业全球价值链分工地位的影响研究  

Influence of Imported Services Intermediate Input on Manufacturing Industry's Export Sophistication in China

作　　者：周大鹏[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海社会科学院世界经济研究所

出　　处：《世界经济研究》2015年第8期27-36,127,共10页World Economy Studies

基　　金：张幼文研究员主持的2013年国家社会科学基金重大项目"贸易大国转型发展的目标升级与战略创新研究"(项目批准号:13&ZD048)中期成果

摘　　要：文章选取48个国家和地区1997～2007年的出口、人均GDP数据计算了各国出口复杂度排名，并以此为依据对我国制造业在全球价值链中的地位进行了定量评估。结合中国投入产出表数据，文章构建了一个包含四类产业截面的面板数据误差修正模型，定量测算了进口服务中间投入对制造业全球价值链分工地位的影响。实证分析表明：中国供应商主导型、规模经济型、专业制造型和科技主导型等四类制造业出口复杂度的国际排名总体上较为靠后；从长期效应看，进口服务中间投入确实对我国出口复杂度具有积极影响，而且知识与技术需求量高的制造业所受的影响最为显著。Based on the export data and per-capita GDP data of 48 countries and regions between 1997 and 2007,this article calculates the export sophistication ranking. It then examines the long run relationship between manufacturing industry sophistication and imported services intermediate inputs by using China's input-output table data. By constructing an error correction model,it finds that: China's SDOM,SCALE,SPEC and SCIB sectors are all in the bottom of the ranking list. China still has a long way to go to become a leading manufacturing power. In the long run the imported services intermediate inputs do have a positive impact on China's export sophistication,and the impact on knowledge-and technology-intensive manufacturing sector is most significant. Finally this article puts forward several recommendations on the services intermediate input trade policy.

关 键 词：服务中间投入 出口复杂度 全球价值链 制造业 

分 类 号：F424[经济管理—产业经济] F752.61