我国煤炭资源可持续性供给水平综合评价探究  

Research into comprehensive evaluation of sustainable supply of the coal resources level in China

作　　者：吴悠[1] 马向平[1] 张光进[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国地质大学(武汉)公共管理学院,湖北武汉430074

出　　处：《中国矿业》2015年第8期26-32,共7页China Mining Magazine

基　　金：中国地质调查局地质调查工作项目"矿产资源开发和保护综合评价"资助(编号:1212011220852)

摘　　要：煤炭资源依旧是我国当前的主要能源,实现其可持续性供给受多方面因素的影响。研究通过查阅文献资料构建了包括煤炭勘查新增查明资源储量增长率、总量控制规划目标完成率、"三率"等八个维度相应的指标体系,在获取研究数据的基础上,采用熵值法对数据进行处理并获得权重,通过指标加权评价法对煤炭资源可持续性供给水平进行综合评价。结果显示在煤炭勘查新增查明资源储量和进口量起主要作用的基础上,研究区间范围内可持续性供给水平呈现出在曲折中下降的态势。结合当前煤炭供需状况、煤炭经济发展国情,研究主要从影响可持续性供给的煤炭勘查新增查明资源储量、进口、"三率"和需求等四个方面提出思考与探索。Currently,coal is still the main resources of energy in our country,the level of sustainability supply is affected by various factors. By reviewing the hterature, we have built an index system with eight dimensions,including the exploration of coal, control- planning objectives completion rate, ＂three rate＂ and so on. Acquiring research data,based on the entropy value method to process and access to weights,and then weighted by index evaluation method to comprehensive evaluate the sustainability of supply level of coal resources. The results show that coal exploration and imports play major roles, the sustainability of supply level showing the downward trend of twists and turns. By analyzing the supply and demand of coal, coal economic development, the author will put forward thinking and exploration from the coal exploration, imports, ＂three rate＂ and demand further.

关 键 词：煤炭资源 可持续性供给 综合评价 指标体系 熵值法 

分 类 号：F062.1[经济管理—政治经济学]