农民进城意愿影响要素实证分析——基于四川省1523份调查问卷  

Empirical analyses on influence factors of farmers migration intention to town: Based on 1523 questionnaires in Sichuan Province

作　　者：伍艺[1] 刘后平[1] 

机构地区：[1]成都理工大学商学院,四川成都610054

出　　处：《浙江农业学报》2015年第7期1266-1271,共6页Acta Agriculturae Zhejiangensis

基　　金：国家社科基金西部项目(12XJY018);四川省统筹城乡基金会"四川农村劳动力转移与新型城镇化协调发展研究"(ZTTC201306);四川省教育厅"四川省两化互动统筹城乡创新驱动发展战略实施路径研究"(2014ZR0012)阶段性成果

摘　　要：文章基于城镇拉力视角,剖析农民进城意愿的影响因素,结合四川省1 523份调查问卷,采用PROBIT回归模型进行了实证分析。结果表明,城镇基本生活条件、城镇生活适应性、技能获取、精神满足和对未来担忧等非经济因素对农民进城决策有显著影响,非经济因素对农民进城的作用依赖于农村家庭的个性特征,包括农村家庭收入水平、家庭主要劳动力受教育状况、平均年龄和现有职业。文章揭示了影响农民进城意愿的关键要素,可为政府制定相关政策提供参考。The objective of this paper was to illustrate and examine the influence factors of farmers＇ migration inten- tion to town by PROBIT regression model. It was shown that the non-economic factors, such as urban basic living conditions, urban life adaptability, skill acquisition, spiritual satisfaction and worries about the future, had signifi- cant influence on farmers＇ decision. The role of non-economic factors depended on different personality characteristics of rural households, including rural family income level, education condition of the main labor force in family, aver- age age and current occupation. The present study revealed the key factors influencing farmers＇ migrant intention, and thus would provide reference for government policy formulation.

关 键 词：农民进城 意愿 影响因素 PROBIT模型 

分 类 号：S-9[农业科学] F304.6[经济管理—产业经济]