不同城镇化质量下碳排放影响因素的实证研究——基于省级面板数据  

An Empirical Study of Different Urbanization Qualities Affecting Carbon Emissions

作　　者：王星[1] 秦蒙[2] 

机构地区：[1]兰州大学经济学院,甘肃兰州730000 [2]中国人民大学中国经济改革与发展研究院,北京100872

出　　处：《兰州大学学报（社会科学版）》2015年第4期60-66,共7页Journal of Lanzhou University（Social Sciences）

基　　金：兰州大学中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目(15LZUJBWZY013)

摘　　要：选取1996-2012年间的省级面板数据,根据城镇化发展质量高低将全国29省市划分为三个组别,利用S1IRPAT模型考察了不同城镇化发展质量阶段碳排放影响因素的差异。结果表明:就全国整体而言,人均可支配收入是影响碳排放的最主要因素;随着城镇化质量的不断提高,城镇化对碳排放的驱动作用逐渐减弱。在城镇化发展质量不同的情景下,城镇化质量高和城镇化质量中等的地区,人均可支配收入对碳排放的驱动作用最为显著;城镇化质量低的地区,城镇化是影响碳排放的最主要原因。在此研究结论的基础上,根据城镇化发展质量的不同,提出相应的节能减排政策。Panel data of 1996-2012 are selected and 29 provinces and municipalities are divided into three categories based on their qualities of urbanization. The STIRPAT model is used for the analysis of different factors affecting carbon emissions at different stages of urbanization. The result shows that for the country as a whole, the per capita disposable income is the main factor affecting carbon emissions; with the constant improvement of the quality of urbanization, the impact of urbanization on carbon emissions gradually weakens. In the scenarios of high and medium qualities of urbanization, per capita disposable income effects carbon emissions significantly, while in regions with lower quality of urbanization, urbanization is the main factor affecting carbon emissions. On the basis of this research, it is suggested that corresponding policies should be made with reference to the quality of urbanization to achieve energy conservation and emission reduction.

关 键 词：城镇化质量 STIRPAT模型 碳排放 节能减排 面板数据 

分 类 号：F290[经济管理—国民经济]