南方集体林区林业产业结构变化规律及其驱动机制研究  

Forestry Industry Structure Variation and Driving Mechanism in the Southern Collective Forest Region of China

作　　者：张广来[1] 罗鹏[1] 廖文梅[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]江西农业大学经济管理学院,南昌330045 [2]江西农业大学农村土地资源利用与保护研究中心,南昌330045

出　　处：《林业经济》2015年第8期101-108,共8页Forestry Economics

基　　金：国家自然科学基金"林地细碎化;劳动力转移与资源禀赋对农户林地投入产出效率的影响机理及政策优化--以江西为例"(编号:71363025);国家自然科学基金"生态补偿政策对特别困难地区农户减贫驱动机制及政策优化研究--以原中央苏区为例"(编号:71463025);江西省普通本科高校中青年教师发展计划访问学者专项资金

摘　　要：调查收集了2000~2012年南方集体林区林业产业结构相关数据,采用库兹涅茨经验法则从林业产业产值比重、劳动力比重、比较劳动生产率三方面分析南方集体林区林业产业结构变化规律,研究结果显示：林业第三产业产值比重逐年上升但增长趋势缓慢。运用主成分分析法,对南方集体林区林业产业结构变化的驱动因子进行分析,实证结果表明,南方集体林区林业产业结构驱动因子主要有：自然资源、经济发展、生态建设和产业政策。依据分析结果,对促进南方集体林区林业产业结构优化发展提出相应的对策建议。The study analyzed the variation of forestry industry structure from 2000 to 2012 in the Southern Collective Forest Zone （SCFZ） on the three aspects of the forest industry, the proportion of the labors and the comparison of the labor productivity with the Kuznets empirical rule. The results indicated that the output value proportion from the tertiary industry was increasing by year, but the growth trend was slow. Meanwhile the text analyzed the driving factors of the forest industry structure in SCFZ using principal component analysis. Empirically, the drive factors of the forest industry structure in SCFZ are as follow： the main natural resources, economic development, ecological construction and industrial policies. Based on above all, some countermeasures were proposed on promoting structure optimization of forest industry in SCFZ.

关 键 词：林业产业结构 库兹涅茨经验法则 变化规律 主成分分析法 驱动机制 

分 类 号：F326.2[经济管理—产业经济]