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机构地区:[1]湖南大学经济与贸易学院,湖南长沙410079
出 处:《系统工程》2015年第7期107-114,共8页Systems Engineering
摘 要:近几年来我国一直保持着第一出口大国地位,其中机电产品出口又占据着主导地位。如何评估机电产品的出口地位和贸易利得,目前有两种不同的方法:一是传统的贸易统计方法,二是附加值贸易核算方法。这两种方法究竟差异如何?文章利用WIOD数据库,运用这两种方法对我国机电产品的分工地位和贸易利益进行了评估。结果是:第一,机电产品出口自2009年以来在国际国内均位居首位,不过以附加值计算的出口规模要明显小于传统方法。第二,在两种统计方法下机电产品静态贸易利益不断扩大,但两者之间的差距也越来越大。第三,机电产品出口的动态贸易都是正向显著的,附加值出口在经济增长方面获得了相对传统来说更多的动态贸易利益,但在就业和技术进步方面获得的利益相对较少。In recent years,China still ranks first in terms of export scale,and the export of mechanical and electrical products is dominant.How can we evaluate mechanical and electrical products’ export status and trade gains?There are two different ways:the traditional trade statistics method and the second is the method of trade in value-added.What’s the difference between the two methods?By using WIOD database,this paper evaluates mechanical and electrical products’ export status and trade gains through those two methods.The results shows that:firstly,China’s exports of mechanical and electronic products ranks first both at home and abroad since 2009,and the export scale calculated by the method of trade in value-added terms is less than the traditional method;secondly,the static trade interests of mechanical and electronic products under two methods is expanding,when the gap between them is larger and larger;thirdly,from the perspective of the dynamic trade interests,trade in value-added earns more interests than the traditional export in the aspect of economic growth,but gains less interests in the terms of employment and technological progress.
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