中美工业进出口贸易隐含污染及影响因素研究——基于非竞争型世界投入产出表的分析  

The Analysis of Pollution Emission Embodied in China-US Trade and Their Determinants

作　　者：独孤昌慧[1] 吴翔[1] 周小琳[1] 

机构地区：[1]东北电力大学经济管理学院,132012

出　　处：《上海经济研究》2015年第7期106-114,128,共10页Shanghai Journal of Economics

基　　金：东北电力大学软科学及人文社会科学专项资助计划项目"我国对外贸易与环境污染问题研究";吉林省社科基金项目"吉林省能源消费增长机理及区域特征研究"(批准编号:2014B210);吉林省农产品质量安全监管模式优化与对策研究(批准编号:2013B235);吉林省教育厅"十二五"科技与社科研究规划项目"区域创新;对外贸易合力推进吉林省产业结构升级研究"(批准编号:[2015]第172号);国家社科基金项目"国际大宗商品价格变化趋势与我国的对策研究"(编号:15BJY123)的资助

摘　　要：该文考虑到生产技术差异及中间产品贸易等因素,利用非竞争型(进口)世界投入产出表计算了2000-2009年我国对美国工业进出口贸易含污数量以及影响因素。结果显示:我国因向美国出口而产生的隐含污染量远远大于我国自美国进口而减少的隐含污染量,我国负担了较大的环境成本;经过因素分解发现,虽然技术进步因素对贸易含污量起减少作用,但仍旧抵消不了贸易规模因素对贸易含污量的增加作用,贸易结构因素的作用还比较小。因此我国要加大清洁生产技术的使用,降低单位污染排放,同时要挖掘对外贸易结构的减排潜力。Considering technical difference and intra-industry trade between China and USA, this paper calculates pollution emission embodied in China-US trade between 2000 and 2009 based on multi-region non-competitive （import） input-output model. The results show that pollution embodied in exports is much greater than that in imports, China affords most of embodied pollution between China-US trades. During 2000-2006, by the expansion of export, the pollution embodied in export increase rapidly. The unit pollution embodied in export is also greater than that in import. Furthermore, the paper analyzes the effects of technical, trade scale and trade structure factors using LMDI. The technical is a deceasing factor, and trade scale is increasing factor in pollution emission. However, the effect of technical is smaller than that of trade scale; so the change of pollution emission is positive.

关 键 词：进出口含污量 投入产出模型 LMDI 中美贸易 

分 类 号：F752[经济管理—国际贸易]