中国出口引致的污染气体排放及其影响因素——基于WIOD数据库的分析  

Pollution Gases Embodied in China's Export and Their Influencing Factors:A Study based on World Input–Output Database

作　　者：苏庆义[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所

出　　处：《国际贸易问题》2015年第9期86-96,共11页Journal of International Trade

基　　金：国家自然科学基金应急管理项目"APEC地区贸易增加值核算及相关政策研究"总课题(71441012);中国社会科学院世界经济与政治研究所重点课题"全球价值链背景下中国国际分工地位现状及提升对策研究";海关总署综合统计司委托课题"中国对外贸易质量研究"的支持

摘　　要：本文基于WIOD数据库的非竞争型投入产出表和环境账户研究中国出口引致的8种污染气体排放量问题。结果表明,1995-2011年,中国出口引致的污染气体排放总量增长2.23倍,且这一增长主要发生于2002-2007年期间。2011年中国单位出口排放量相比1995年下降43.72%。从2002年开始,中国对美国单位出口排放量小于中国整体出口单位排放量。SDA分解表明,排放技术的改善是促成中国单位出口排放量下降的最重要因素,而投入技术效应却是阻碍因素,出口结构效应对中国单位出口排放量的影响有限。其政策含义是,未来在继续通过改进排放技术改善中国贸易质量的同时,应该注重改善投入技术,并且着力通过改善贸易结构来降低单位出口排放量。This paper studies eight kinds of pollution gases embodied in Chi- na＇ s export using National Input- Output Tables and Environmental Accounts in World Input- Output Database. The results show that the total amount of pollu- tion gases embodied in China＇ s export increased by 223 percent during the peri- od from 1995 to 2011, and the increase mainly occurred during 2002 and 2007. Compared with 1995, the amount of pollution gases embodied in China＇ s one unit export decreased by 43.72 percent. The amount of pollution gas embodied in China＇ s one unit export to the USA has been less than that embodied in its one unit overall export since 2002. The structural decomposition analysis reveals that the improvement of emission technology is the most important factor serving decrease, the input technology effect is a hindering factor, and the effect of ex- port structure is very limited. The policy implications are that China should im- prove its trade quality not only by improving the emission technology, but also by improving the input technology and its export structure.

关 键 词：污染气体排放 WIOD数据库 贸易质量 结构分解分析 

分 类 号：F752.654.4[经济管理—国际贸易]