Response to Comments by Yuan WANG on “Trends of Extreme Precipitation in Eastern China and Their Possible Causes”  

作　　者：LIU Run LIU Shaw Chen Ralph J.CICERONE SHIU Chein-Jung LI Jun WANG Jingli ZHANG Yuanhang 

机构地区：[1]State Key Joint Laboratory of Environmental Simulation and Pollution Control,College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering,Peking University [2]Research Center for Environmental Changes,Academia Sinica [3]Department of Atmospheric Science,NCU [4]National Academy of Sciences [5]Earth System Science,University of California [6]Institute of Urban Meteorology of China Meteorological Administration

出　　处：《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》2015年第10期1447-1448,共2页大气科学进展（英文版）

摘　　要：In his comments, Wang cites a number of works to dispute the conclusion in our previous work, which attributes the observed decreases/increases in light/heavy precipitation in eastern China primarily to global warming rather than the regional aerosol effect. However, most of the cited works （admittedly, including our previous work）, employ correlation analysis, which has little bearing on the cause--effect relationship. Theoretical analyses and/or modeling studies are needed to ascertain the cause-effect relationship. We argue that theoretical analyses and modeling results show that global warming is the primary cause of the widely observed phenomena of suppression of light precipitation and enhancement of heavy precipitation across the globe, including in eastern China.In his comments, Wang cites a number of works to dispute the conclusion in our previous work, which attributes the observed decreases/increases in light/heavy precipitation in eastern China primarily to global warming rather than the regional aerosol effect. However, most of the cited works （admittedly, including our previous work）, employ correlation analysis, which has little bearing on the cause--effect relationship. Theoretical analyses and/or modeling studies are needed to ascertain the cause-effect relationship. We argue that theoretical analyses and modeling results show that global warming is the primary cause of the widely observed phenomena of suppression of light precipitation and enhancement of heavy precipitation across the globe, including in eastern China.

关 键 词：extreme precipitation global warming AEROSOLS 

分 类 号：P426.6[天文地球—大气科学及气象学] X513[环境科学与工程—环境工程]