基于PT理论的中国北极航线权益战略选择  

PT-based China's Right Strategy Choice on Arctic Route

作　　者：李振福[1] 王文雅[1] 徐梦俏[1] 

机构地区：[1]大连海事大学交通运输管理学院,辽宁大连116026

出　　处：《世界地理研究》2015年第3期50-58,共9页World Regional Studies

基　　金：国家社科基金重大项目(13&ZD170);国家自然科学基金项目(61174166);新世纪优秀人才支持计划;中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(3132014314)

摘　　要：面对北极航线的开通预期,世界各相关国家对北极航线问题愈加关注,但目前我国国内缺乏对于中国北极航线战略的量化研究,在全面分析目前中国北极航线的内部优势、劣势及外部环境的基础上,利用PT理论创建了中国北极航线权益战略PT理论选择方法,并通过方案选择提出了中国北极航线权益战略。研究结果对于北极及北极航线研究领域中环境因素的分析和量化方法的拓展及制定我国北极航线战略具有理论和现实意义。With the international context that the opening of the Arctic Route is approaching, many relational countries paid close attention on the Arctic Route, while China has few quantitative researches on strategy for the Arctic Route. This paper comprehensively analyzed China's strengths and weaknesses, as well as opportunities and threats in terms of the Arctic Route, and created the Arctic Route right strategies Prospect Theory method based on the Prospect Theory. Finally, China’s strategy that should be adopted for the Arctic Route right was confirmed. The result is helpful to analyze corresponding factors that affect China’s right on the Arctic Route and also to expand quantitative methods research.

关 键 词：PT理论 北极航线权益 环境因素 战略选择 

分 类 号：D823[政治法律—政治学]