中国地级行政区旅游市场潜力分析  

An Analysis on Tourism Market Potential of Chinese Prefecture-level Cities

作　　者：顾春香[1] 许爱文[1] 钟章奇[1] 王铮[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]华东师范大学地理信息科学教育部重点实验室,上海200241 [2]中国科学院科技政策与管理科学研究所,北京100080

出　　处：《世界地理研究》2015年第3期160-166,共7页World Regional Studies

基　　金：国家自然科学基金重点项目"基于国土空间分异机理的区域协调管理模式研究"(70933002)

摘　　要：本文基于威尔逊形式的旅游引力模型,结合GIS技术计算了中国地级行政区的旅游市场域,同时分析了各城市的市场潜力。结果分析表明:(1)城市的一级市场域、二级市场域和三级市场域存在明显的距离衰减效应,而且当前市场域能够覆盖全国范围的并不多,大部分地区的旅游市场潜力并不大。(2)根据全国346个地级行政区的市场域进行系统聚类为四类城市,主要是在旅游资源、交通区位、经济等方面产生了一定的差异,进而影响到旅游市场潜力的不同。(3)在各省区内的所有地级行政区中,省会城市是旅游市场域最大的省区有19个。Based on tourism gravity model, combined with GIS,we calculate the tourism market area of Chinese prefecture-level cities,and analyze their tourism market potentials. We find that, firstly, the first market area, the second market area and the third market area obviously show distance decay. The tourism market potential in most parts of China is small. In addition, the market area of Chinese cities is affected by geographical location, natural environment and regional development policies.Secondly, 346 Chinese prefec-ture-level cities can be divided into four kinds of cities by clustering ac-cording to the market area. There are mainly differences among tourism re-sources, traffic location and economy, which affects the tourism market poten-tial. Thirdly, in all cities of every province, there are 19 provinces that the market area of the capitals is the largest. In other 8 provinces, the mar-ket area of capitals is not the largest. Therefore, measures like building airports and high-speed railways, can be taken to strengthen tourism services and ecological environment.

关 键 词：旅游资源 旅游市场域 中国 

分 类 号：F592[经济管理—旅游管理]