基于面板数据物流产业集聚对产业结构贡献实证分析——以黑龙江省为例  

The Contribution of Logistics Industry Agglomeration to Industrial Structure:An empirical study based on the Panel Data of Heilongjiang Province

作　　者：武富庆[1] 李巍巍[1] 吴冲[2] 赵丽[1] 

机构地区：[1]黑龙江科技大学管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150022 [2]哈尔滨工业大学管理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150001

出　　处：《北京交通大学学报（社会科学版）》2015年第3期70-76,共7页Journal of Beijing Jiaotong University(Social Sciences Edition)

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目"基于改进的概率神经网络的分类预测方法的理论;算法与应用研究"(71271070);黑龙江省哲学社科项目"黑龙江省资源型城市战略性新兴接替产业选择研究"(14B013);"黑龙江省电煤非一体化纵向关系协调研究--基于机制设计理论的电煤供应链协调视角"(12E040)

摘　　要：利用面板数据个体固定效应模型,以产业结构为因变量,物流产业集聚为核心解释变量,货运量、物流人力资本、固定资产投资及政府干预为控制变量,实证检验黑龙江省12地市2005-2012年间物流产业集聚对产业结构贡献的影响。结果表明:物流产业集聚对产业结构贡献呈现不显著的负效应,控制变量中政府干预有显著的正效应、物流人力资本有不显著的正效应、固定资产投资有显著的负效应、货运量有不显著的负效应。黑龙江省及地方政府应从创造良好软硬环境着手,加强物流产业的发展,提升物流产业集聚效应。Based on the panel data of entity fixed effect model,this research takes industrial structure as the dependent variable,logistics industrial agglomeration as the key explanatory variable,and the quantity of shipments,logistics human capital,fixed investment and government intervention as control variables. An empirical test is conducted to examine the effect of logistics industry agglomeration on industrial structure contribution in 12 cities of Heilongjiang Province during 2005- 2012. The results show that：（ 1） logistics industry agglomeration presents no significant negative effects on industrial structure contribution;（ 2） government intervention of control variables has obvious positive effect;（ 3） logistics human capital has no significant positive effect;（ 4） fixed investments have significant negative effect; and（ 5） the quantity of shipments has no significant negative effect. It is proposed that Heilongjiang provincial government and the local governments should put forward relevant policies to promote the development of logistics industry and enhance logistics industrial agglomeration.

关 键 词：物流产业集聚 产业结构 贡献 黑龙江 面板数据 个体固定效应模型 

分 类 号：F259.27[经济管理—国民经济]