陇东黄土高原地区资源消耗、环境污染与经济增长的耦合关系——以庆阳市为例  

Coupling relationships of resource consumption,environmental pollution and economic growth in loess plateau region of eastern Gansu Province: A case study of Qingyang City

作　　者：鹿晨昱[1] 王春娟[1] 张子龙[2] 李恒吉[3] 逯承鹏[4] 薛冰[4] 

机构地区：[1]西北师范大学地理与环境科学学院,兰州730070 [2]兰州大学中国西部循环经济研究中心,兰州730000 [3]中国科学院兰州文献情报中心,兰州730000 [4]中国科学院沈阳应用生态研究所污染生态与环境工程重点实验室,沈阳110016

出　　处：《生态学杂志》2015年第9期2681-2690,共10页Chinese Journal of Ecology

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41261112;41301652;41471116);甘肃省科技支撑计划项目(1304FKCA067);西北师范大学青年教师科研能力提升计划项目(NWNU-LKQN-10-20)资助

摘　　要：环境污染与经济增长及资源消耗与经济增长的关系,一直是环境经济学与资源经济学的热点研究问题。但针对小尺度区域,将资源消耗、经济增长与环境污染三者纳入一个体系开展的分析研究较少。本文采用2000—2013年庆阳市主要的环境污染物排放量、资源消耗量和人均GDP数据,运用计量经济学方法,通过协整检验、基于向量自回归(VAR)模型的脉冲响应函数及方差分解分析,对三者之间的耦合关系进行了研究。结果表明:三者存在协整关系,庆阳市经济增长与环境污染、资源消耗之间存在一种长期均衡关系。化学需氧量和烟尘的排放对庆阳市经济增长的影响不大,但二氧化硫排放量、能源消耗量和水资源消耗量对其经济增长的影响较大。庆阳市经济增长是以污染物排放量增多和资源的大量消耗为代价的,经济增长是其环境污染、资源消耗的重要原因。经济增长对资源和环境的依赖度较强,环境污染、资源消耗与经济增长之间还未出现解耦,存在着相互促进的耦合作用关系。The relationship among environmental pollution,resource consumption and economic growth has always been a hot research focus in environmental economics and resources economics.But there are few researches combining these relationships as a whole,especially for small-scale areas. The purpose of this article is to investigate the coupling relationship of the economic growth,resource consumption and environmental pollution. With the data of pollution discharge,resource consumption and per capita GDP from 2000 to 2013 in Qingyang City,Gansu Province,the co-integration test,variance decomposition and impulse response function based on vector autoregressive（ VAR） model were employed. The results showed that there was a long-term equilibrium among economic growth,environmental pollution and resource consumption. The chemical oxygen demand and soot emissions had no significant effect on the economic growth,but the sulfur dioxide emission,energy consumption and water consumption had a great influence on the economic growth. The economic growth in Qingyang City was at the expense of increased pollutants emissions and resource consumption,and thus it was an important reason for environmental pollution and resource consumption. This indicates that economic growth has a strong dependence on resource and environment. A decoupling relationship has not occurred among economic growth,resource consumption and environmental pollution,while a coupling relationship of mutual promotion exists.

关 键 词：经济增长 环境污染 资源消耗 VAR模型 庆阳 

分 类 号：F224[经济管理—国民经济]