黑龙江省农作物生物质能发电潜力及环境价值研究  

Study on power potential and environment value of crops biomass energy in Heilongjiang Province

作　　者：葛慧玲[1] 焦扬[1] 任永泰[1] 

机构地区：[1]东北农业大学理学院,黑龙江哈尔滨150030

出　　处：《可再生能源》2015年第9期1403-1408,共6页Renewable Energy Resources

基　　金：黑龙江省教育厅科学技术研究项目(12541038)

摘　　要：根据2004~2012年黑龙江省农作物产量,计算农业废弃物类生物质能资源蕴藏量和能源可用量,对近年主要农作物生物质能源储量进行测度。采用GM（1,1）灰预测模型,对2013~2016年黑龙江省农业废弃物类生物质能源可用量进行预测,结果显示,以50%利用率计算,到2016年其可用量相当于30.728×106t标准煤。分析了农业废弃物类生物质能的发展潜力,将生物质能发电与燃煤发电环境成本进行对比,结果显示,到2016年黑龙江省利用生物质能发电节约的环境成本为123.728亿元,对环境保护起到了积极作用。Based on the data of crop yield in Heilongjiang Province（2004~2012）, this paper estimated the theoretical amount and available amount of biomass energy of agricultural residues, and measured the energy reserves of the main crop in recent years. GM（1,1） model was selected to predict the available amount of biomass energy of agricultural residues in Heilongjiang province from 2013 to 2016.The results showed that the available amount was equal to 30.728 million tons of standard coal to 2016,according to 50% utilization. Development potential of biomass energy of agricultural residues was analysed and the environmental cost of biomass energy generation and coal-fired power generation were compared. The results showed that the savings environmental cost of biomass energy generation was 12 372.8 million yuan in Heilongjiang Province to 2016, which could play a positive role in environmental protection.

关 键 词：生物质能 灰建模 发电潜力 环境价值 

分 类 号：TK6[动力工程及工程热物理—生物能] S216[农业科学—农业机械化工程]