中国牧草产品国际贸易格局研究及启示  

Study on International Trade Structure of Chinese Forage Products and Its Enlightenment

作　　者：汪武静[1] 王明利[1] 金白乙拉 刘玉凤[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院农业经济与发展研究所,北京100081 [2]内蒙古通辽市科左中旗农业技术推广中心,内蒙古通辽029300

出　　处：《中国农学通报》2015年第26期1-6,共6页Chinese Agricultural Science Bulletin

基　　金：中国农业科学院科技创新工程(ASTIP-IAED-2015-01);现代农业产业技术体系建设专项资金(CARS-35-22)

摘　　要：为研究中国牧草产品的贸易量、贸易结构、贸易伙伴的历史趋势和变化规律,采用描述性统计以及定量计算函数关系的方法分析1996—2014年间中国牧草产品国际贸易格局。结果发现:2008年以来,中国苜蓿干草和燕麦草的进口量都呈现指数式增长趋势,进口量与中国大型奶牛场的奶牛存栏头数呈现显著正相关关系。中国牧草产品主要进口国是美国和澳大利亚。为了保障粗饲料供给安全,中国应该采取的措施是充分利用国内、国际2个市场和2种资源,有效补充对国内优质饲料的供给。燕麦草正值发展的有利时机,应该借鉴澳大利亚燕麦草产业发展经验,重视发展燕麦草产业。同时应该调动国内各种资源发展牧草产业,从而保障中国优质安全的乳制品与牛羊肉产品的供应。To study the historical trend and changing rule of trade amount, structure and partnership of forage products, descriptive statistics and quantitative methods were used to analyze international trade pattern of forage products in China from 1996 to 2014. It turned out that China＇s imports of both alfalfa hay and oat grass showed a trend of exponential growth since 2008, and the import volume had a significant positive correlation with the number of dairy cows in large-scale farms. In addition, most alfalfa hay and almost all oat grass came from USA and Australia, respectively. So in order to ensure the safe supply of roughage, China should make good use of domestic resources firstly, and then use overseas resources with high quality as far as possible.Besides, oat grass industry was facing with great opportunities, so it could be developed based on experience from Australia to make sure that the quality of oat grass can be comparable with the international oat.Meanwhile, all kinds of resources should be used as soon as possible to strengthen domestic forage industry so as to guarantee safe quality of dairy products and the beef and mutton products.

关 键 词：牧草产品 国际贸易 启示 

分 类 号：F326.3[经济管理—产业经济]