东北经济失速的投资性根源  

Investment Explanation of Stagnation of Economic Growth in Northeast China

作　　者：杨东亮[1] 赵振全[2] 

机构地区：[1]吉林大学东北亚研究院区域经济所 [2]吉林大学数量经济研究中心

出　　处：《东北亚论坛》2015年第5期94-107,128,共14页Northeast Asia Forum

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学青年项目(14YJC790150);教育部社科重大项目(12JZD0507);吉林大学优秀青年教师培养计划

摘　　要：近期东北地区的经济失速与固定资产投资波动密切相关。东北振兴以来的固定资产投资数据表明,持续下挫的投资增速是东北经济"断崖式"下跌的主要原因,投资对经济增长的拉动率和占经济产出比例是预警经济增长风险的两项重要指标;投资体制问题在东北依然十分严重,偏好资源能源等产业的投资特点导致东北地区经济可持续增长能力较弱。结合当期我国的宏观经济形势与东北地区经济发展态势,建议东北地区扩大固定资产投资规模,保持必要的投资增速;积极发挥固定资产投资的结构效应,提升对经济增长的拉动效果;深化投资体制改革,突出地方政府投资引导作用。The fluctuation of Investment was the root of stagnation of economic growth in Northeast China. Since the Northeast revitalization,fixed asset investment data showed that the main reason for the cliff down of economic growth is the continuous declination of fixed asset investment. Fixed asset investment-GDP ratio and contribution ratio were important warning signal indicators of economic growth risk. The problem of investment system was still very serious,and the investment features led to weak endogenous economic growth ability in Northeast China. We suggested that Northeast China should increase investment in fixed assets and maintain investment growth rate,make the benefit from the structure effect of fixed assets investment,enhance the pulling effect,deepen the reform of investment system,and emphasize the leading role of local government investment.

关 键 词：东北 经济失速 固定资产投资 投资体制 政策建议 

分 类 号：F061.5[经济管理—政治经济学]