基于系统动力学的体育事业协同可持续发展策略研究——以山东省为例  

Research on Sustainable Development Model of Sports Based on System Dynamics——Taking Shandong Province As An Example

作　　者：邵桂华[1] 满江虹[1] 

机构地区：[1]吉林体育学院,长春130022

出　　处：《西安体育学院学报》2015年第5期521-527,585,共8页Journal of Xi'an Physical Education University

基　　金：国家社会科学基金项目(09BTY002);山东省软科学课题资助项目(2010RKGB2105);山东大学自主创新基金资助项目

摘　　要：以系统动力学理念及技术路线为指导,以Vensim PLE为工具,以竞技体育与全民健身协同可持续发展为宗旨,在深入分析体育系统内外因素的基础上,绘制了体育系统的因果关系图、动力学流图并撰写了系统动力学方程,全面构建了体育系统的系统动力学模型,并利用山东省数据进行了仿真实证研究,给出了山东省体育系统协同可持续发展的策略。Directed by system dynamics theory and aided by Vensim PLE, the article takes as target the corporative relation- ship between competitive sports and national fitness program. The analysis was made of the main inside and the outside effee- ted factors of sports system, making the causal graph, flowing graph and dynamic functions, thus giving the system dynamics model of sports system by Vensim PLE. An empirical research of Shandong province according to this model was done and the sustainable development strategy was given at last.

关 键 词：体育事业 协同 可持续发展 系统动力学 

分 类 号：G80-051[文化科学—运动人体科学]