基于GERT网络的救灾人员动态优化配置模型研究  

Study on the Dynamic Optimization Model for Relief Workers Allocation Based on GERT Network

作　　者：陈万明[1] 裴玲玲[1] 杨保华[1] 王正新[1] 

机构地区：[1]南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,南京210016

出　　处：《重庆师范大学学报（自然科学版）》2015年第5期125-130,共6页Journal of Chongqing Normal University:Natural Science

基　　金：国家社科基金(No.12BGL064);中国博士后科学基金资助项目(No.2013M540448)

摘　　要：针对应急抢险过程中救灾人员紧急需求和动态到达时间的建模问题,运用GERT网络分析方法,建立应急人员动态优化配置模型,分析了人员的动态到达对GERT网络中事件演化概率转移的影响,给出了基于GERT网络的应急人员动态优化配置模型的求解算法。结果表明,研究提出的模型和算法能够有效解决应急救灾人员动态优化配置问题,为灾害发展态势的预测及应急人员的储备和动员提供了研究方法和研究思路。For the practical modeling problem of emergency relief worker demand and dynamic time of arrival in the process of emer-gency rescue, the GERT network method is employed to establish an emergency personnel dynamic optimization allocation model.The effect of dynamic time of relief workers＇ arrival to the transition probability of event evolution in the GERT network is also ana-lyzed. The algorithm for solving the optimal allocation of emergency personnel is proposed based on the GERT network. The resultsshow that, the model and algorithm proposed in this paper can effectively solve the dynamic optimization problem of emergency rescue workers, and provide the research method and ideas for prediction of the development trend and the disaster emergency person-nel reserve and mobilization.

关 键 词：突发事件 资源配置 GERT网络 救灾人员 

分 类 号：F406[经济管理—产业经济]