基于不同调查时点数据的黑龙江省土地利用变化及政策驱动分析  

Land use change and its relating to policies in Heilongjiang Province based on data of different surveys point

作　　者：刘光盛[1,4,5] 王红梅[1,4,5] 胡月明[2,4,5] 关国锋[3] 程迎轩 卢阳禄 

机构地区：[1]华南农业大学,公共管理学院,广东广州510640 [2]华南农业大学资源环境学院,广东广州510640 [3]黑龙江省国土资源勘测规划院,黑龙江哈尔滨150090 [4]国土资源部建设用地再开发重点实验室,广东广州510640 [5]广东省土地利用与整治重点实验室,广东广州510640

出　　处：《农业现代化研究》2015年第5期869-875,共7页Research of Agricultural Modernization

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(41301078);国土资源部公益性行业科研专项(201111013)

摘　　要：以土地调查数据为支撑,综合运用GIS空间叠加分析及土地利用双向动态度模型,分析黑龙江省土地利用变化特征与变化轨迹,探索土地政策对黑龙江省土地利用变化的驱动效应。结果显示,28 a来,黑龙江省土地利用发生了显著变化:耕地先减后增,其中林地、未利用地与草地对耕地增加贡献最大;林地呈现一定波动趋势,但总体面积基本持平;草地持续减少,主要转向耕地;建设用地快速增长,年均增长率为5.13%,远大于其他地类。耕地保护是土地利用变化的核心因素,直接推动其他各类用地变化;政策对土地利用变化的影响显著,建议在保障粮食安全的前提下,加大对草地与林地保护的政策支持。G IS spatial overlay and bilateral dynam ic degree m odel w ere em ployed to analyze the characteristics and trajectoriesofland-usechangeinHeilongjiangProvincebasedonthedataofnationallandsurvey.Theresultsshow that overthe past28 years,a significantchange ofland-use has taken place in H eilongjiang.A rea offarm land increased after an initialdecrease w ith the increase m ostly contributed by conversion from forest,unutilized land and grassland.A rea of forest fluctuated over the period, w ith no clear trend. G rassland area w as decreased dram atically largely due to conversion into farm land.T he area used for construction increased m uch faster than other land use types w ith an average annual grow th rate of 5.13% . Farm land protection w as the key factor of land use change by directly influencing the change of other land types. Polices w ere found to have a significant effect on land-use change and thus m ore polices should been im plem ented to protectgrassland and forestunderthe prem ise offood security.

关 键 词：土地资源 政策驱动 轨迹分析 土地利用变化 黑龙江 

分 类 号：F301.2[经济管理—产业经济]