演化经济学中的技术赶超理论:研究进展与启示  

Theories of Technology Catching-Up in Evolutionary Economics:Research Progress and Enlightenment

作　　者：黄宁[1] 张国胜[1] 

机构地区：[1]云南大学发展研究院,昆明650091

出　　处：《技术经济》2015年第9期32-37,共6页Journal of Technology Economics

基　　金：中国-东盟研究院"教育部长江学者和创新团队发展计划"资助项目"CAFTA区域内分工演进;产业转移与我国周边省区的制造业发展研究"(CWZ201407)

摘　　要：通过对技术赶超理论的研究文献进行回顾,分析了演化经济学中技术赶超理论的逻辑、经济史和创新政策等,总结了演化经济学中技术赶超理论的基本观点和政策启示。研究结论如下:第一,发展中国家的技术赶超并不是一个单调线性过程,成熟的技术轨道上并不存在赶超机会,只有在"机会窗口"时期率先进入新兴技术轨道才有赶超的可能性;第二,成功的赶超依赖于新兴产业的技术创新和制度的"创造性破坏";第三,发展中国家的创新政策不仅要能应对市场、公共机构和商业环境改变的挑战,而且要能改善国家创新系统的机能并增强赶超机遇的能力。Through reviewing the research literature on the technology catching-up theory, this paper analyzes the theoretical logic, economic history and innovation policy of technology catching-up theory in evolutionary economics,and concludes the basic ideas and policy implications. The research conclusions are as follows： the technology catching-up of developing countries is nonlinear, and there is the impossibility to catch up with mature technologies, hut it is possible if devetoping countries emerge technology paradigms in the ＂window of opportunity＂; technology catching-up depends on technological and institutional innovation; the innovation policy of developing countries not only needs to deal with all kinds of challenges,but also needs to improve the performance of national innovation system and the ability to catch up with the opportunity.

关 键 词：演化经济学 技术赶超 技术轨道 机会窗口 

分 类 号：F124.3[经济管理—世界经济]