我国四大地区农业产业结构分析——基于DSSM模型的实证研究  

Study on the Difference from Agricultural Structure of Four Regions——Based on DSSM

作　　者：秦德智[1] 邵慧敏[1] 秦超[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]云南大学工商管理与旅游管理学院,云南昆明650091 [2]云南民族大学教育学院,云南昆明650031

出　　处：《技术经济与管理研究》2015年第9期124-128,共5页Journal of Technical Economics & Management

基　　金：农业部软科学研究基金项目(D201424)

摘　　要：我国的经济区域划分为东部、中部、西部和东北四大地区。尽管我国农业产业结构调整取得了一定成绩,但仍显露出较大的地区性不平衡。文章采用动态偏离—份额模型(DSSM),以2005年为基期,分别对四大地区2006-2012年的农业产业结构进行分析。分析结果显示我国四大地区种植业产业结构相对较好,但渔业、牧业、林业产业结构相对较差;四大地区中,东、中部地区渔业产业结构最不合理,西部和东北部地区最不合理的是牧业。并在此基础上提出四大地区农业产业结构优化调整的总体思路。Although great progress have been made on agricultural industrial structure adjustment in China, the unbalance in different regions becomes obvious gradually. According to related government documents, firstly define the four main regions, then use dynamic shift-share method（DSSM） to analyze the space and time difference from the hole and inner agricultural industry structure from the year 2006 to 2012.The research shows that the structure of planting industry is relatively reasonable in the four regions, but fishery animal husbandry and forestry relatively worse. The structure of fishery in the east and the middle region are the worst, meanwhile the animal husbandry in the west and the northeast is the same. Finally, some suggestions are given to improve the agricultural industry structure of four regions.

关 键 词：农业产业 产业结构 农业经济 区域经济 

分 类 号：F222.3[经济管理—国民经济]