资本积累对中国经济增长的重要性改变了吗?  

Has the Importance of Capital Accumulation for China's Economic Growth Changed?

作　　者：杨先明[1] 秦开强 

机构地区：[1]云南大学发展研究院

出　　处：《经济与管理研究》2015年第10期3-9,共7页Research on Economics and Management

基　　金：教育部人文社会科学研究规划基金项目"基于能力构建的我国自主创新型技术赶超问题研究"(13YGA790135)

摘　　要：本文比较分析1980—2011年20国集团(G20)各国的资本边际产出情况,发现中低收入国家的资本积累较高收入国家往往是有效率的,资本积累的过程很有可能就相伴着技术进步,因为新资本中往往蕴含着新技术。中国的资本边际产出在这些国家中处于相对较高的水平,并且表现出长期稳定向上的趋势,没有出现明显的资本边际产出递减趋势。这意味着中国在资本快速积累的同时存在较快的技术进步和效率改善,中国离稳态资本水平的距离还很远,投资驱动增长仍具有很大的空间甚至是必要性,资本积累仍是中国经济增长的中心任务。This article analyzes marginal capital output ratio in the G20 countries from 1980 to 2011.The results suggest that capital accumulation is often efficient in low-income countries and the process of capital accumulation is likely to be associated with technological progress,for new capital often contains new technology.China＇s marginal capital output ratio is relatively high and shows the long-term stable upward trend.It has no obvious diminishing trend of marginal output of capital.This means that China＇s rapid capital accumulation is accompanied with technological progress and efficiency improvement.China’ s capital level is far away from the steady state.The importance of capital accumulation for economic growth does not change.Capital accumulation is still the central task of China＇s economic growth.

关 键 词：资本积累 技术进步 资本边际产出 增长方式 

分 类 号：F061.2[经济管理—政治经济学]