中国企业的出口市场选择:事实与解释  

Export Markets Choices of China's Firms:Evidence and Explanation

作　　者：陈勇兵[1] 李梦珊[1] 赵羊 李冬阳[1] 

机构地区：[1]中南财经政法大学工商管理学院

出　　处：《数量经济技术经济研究》2015年第10期20-37,共18页Journal of Quantitative & Technological Economics

基　　金：霍英东教育基金会第十四届高等院校青年教师基金基础性研究课题(141085);国家自然科学基金青年项目(71203239)的资助

摘　　要：本文基于2000～2006年中国海关数据库企业一出口市场对的贸易数据，采用条件Logit模型考察中国企业出口市场选择的空间模式。结果表明，中国企业的出口市场选择受企业以往出口经验的影响，存在明显的路径依赖。企业倾向于选择与老出口市场地理邻近或文化相似的出口市场建立新贸易关系，尤其是与前者。其中，外资企业和加工贸易企业的出口市场选择更加依赖于新老出口市场间的各种相似性关系。这提醒我们，企业应充分利用自身的出口经验，尤其是成功的出口经验在相似出口市场间的溢出效应以加强新市场开拓的针对性和有效性，形成结构合理的贸易网络以稳定出口。Based on the 2000~2006 micro-firm level data from China Customs Database, this paper adopts conditional logit model to explore the spatial pattern of export markets choices of China＇s firms. Our results show that, due to firms＇ export experience, export markets choices of China＇s firms present a significant pattern of path-dependence. Firms pre- fer to choose markets which are geographically and culturally similar to the existing markets to establish new trade relationship, especially the new markets that share geographical simi- larities with the existing markets. And export markets choices of foreign-owned firms and process trade firms are more dependent on various kinds of similarities between new and ex- isting markets than other firms. This paper reminds us that, firms should make the best of the spillover effects of firms＇ export experience among similar export markets to explore new markets specifically and efficiently, form a rational trade network to stabilize export.

关 键 词：出口市场选择 出口经验 路径依赖 条件Logit模型 

分 类 号：F752.62[经济管理—国际贸易]