云南省人口结构与社会经济发展适应性分析  

Adaptability Analysis of Population Structure and Social Economic Development in Yunnan Province

作　　者：张欣玲[1] 杨艳俊[2] 骆华松[1] 柳德江[2] 

机构地区：[1]云南师范大学旅游与地理科学学院,云南昆明650092 [2]玉溪师范学院资源环境学院,云南玉溪653100

出　　处：《安徽农业科学》2015年第27期312-315,共4页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences

基　　金：云南省哲学社科项目(QN2014043);国家自然科学基金项目(41071100;40861004)

摘　　要：构建了云南省人口结构系统及社会经济系统,利用灰色系统关联模型进行定量分析,揭示了云南省人口结构与社会经济发展之间的内在关系,评价云南省人口结构与社会经济发展的适应性。结果表明,云南省人口结构与社会经济发展整体相适应,但非农业人口收入与社会经济发展不相适应,人均GDP、GDP与人口结构系统发展适应性差。通过综合评价,提出加大教育投资力度,制定在职人员培训政策,提高人口教育结构;调整产业,优化人口产业结构;制定城乡居民收入增长机制,优化人口收入结构等建议,从而优化云南省人口社会经济结构,推进人口与社会经济协调发展。The population structure system and social economic system in Ytmnan Province was constructed, gray system correlation model was adopted for quantitative analysis, revealing the inherent relationship between population structure and social economic development, the adaptability of Yunnan Province population structure and the development of society and economy was evaluated. The results showed that, the population structure of Yunnan province and the social and economic development is generally compatible, but the non agricultural population income and social economic development is not compatible, per capita GDP, GDP and population structure system development adaptability is poor. Through the comprehensive evaluation, several suggestions were put forward, including increase investment in education, on-the-job personnel training policy, improve the education of the population structure ; adjust industry, optimize population industrial structure ; develop urban and rural residents＇income growth mechanism, optimize income structure of population, so as to optimize the population of Yunnan Province social and economic structure, and promote the coordinated development of population and social economy.

关 键 词：人口结构 社会经济结构 灰色关联分析 耦合度 云南省 

分 类 号：S9[农业科学—水产科学]