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作 者:冉毅[1] 李谦[1] 彭德全[1] 王超[1] 汤晓玉[1] 罗惜民[1]
出 处:《安徽农业科学》2015年第27期322-325,共4页Journal of Anhui Agricultural Sciences
基 金:中国农业科学院创新工程项目(CAAS-ASTIP-2015-BIOMA-2060302)
摘 要:在分析生物质成型燃料技术特点和项目社会关系的基础上,选取湖北省1家生物质成型燃料企业为研究对象,对其经济效益进行分析。结果显示,该企业净现值为正值,项目可行;内部收益率14.0%,项目收益较高;动态投资回收期10.7年,项目风险较大。对影响经济效益的不确定性因素分析:成型燃料售价对经济效益影响极其敏感,敏感系数为10.6,其次是原料收购价格,敏感系数为6.4,政府对项目建设补贴较敏感,税收政策影响不敏感,敏感系数分别为1.8和0.55。根据新出台的税优惠政策,内部收益率可提高至21.7%,如政府对成型燃料售价补贴10%,加上税收优惠,内部收益率将达到36.8%,动态投资回收期下降到4.3年,经济效益显著,项目风险低。Based on the analysis of technical features of biomass briquette fuel and its social relations, a biomass briquette fuel enterprise in Hubei Province was selected as the objective and its economical benefit was analyzed. The results indicated that the net present value of the enter- prise was positive, which proved the project feasibility and the project had a higher internal rate of return of 14.0%. However, the dynamic in- vestment pay-back period would last for 10.7 years and therefore the project would have greater risk. The analysis of uncertain factors affecting e- conomical behest showed that the sales price of biomass briquette fuel was most sensitive to the economical benefit and its sensitivity coefficient was 10.6; the followed m"fecting factor was feedstock purchasing price and its sensitivity coefficient was 6.4; government subsidies for project construction is more sensitive than "tax policy and their sensitivity coefficient were 1.8 and 0.55. According to the newly issued tax preferential policy, the internal rate of return could reach to 21.7%. If the government subsidy was 10% of the sales price of biomass briquette fuel, the internal rate of return could reach to 36.8% with the addition of tax preference and the dynamic investment pay-back period could decrease to 4.3 years. Thus the project would have better economical benefit and lower risk.
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