我国人口出生性别比的空间和分层效应分析  

Spatial and Hierarchical Effects of Birth Sex Ratio of China's Population

作　　者：毛雅瑛 王淑镓 章茜茜[1] 蔡风景[1] 

机构地区：[1]温州大学数学与信息科学学院,浙江温州325035

出　　处：《温州职业技术学院学报》2015年第3期36-39,共4页Journal of Wenzhou Polytechnic

基　　金：浙江省新苗人才计划项目(2014R424013);温州大学实验室开放项目(14SK18A)

摘　　要：利用2010年第六次全国人口普查县级单位数据,对人口出生性别比影响因素进行定量分析。实证结果表明,我国人口出生性别比存在比较明显的空间自相关性和分层效应,在剔除空间自相关影响的条件下,分层效应消失。空间误差回归模型计量结果表明,女性离婚率、人口出生率、三代及以上家庭户比例和男女教育程度比例,对我国人口出生性别比均存在显著的影响。According to the data of the sixth county level national census in 2010, a quantitative analysis was made on the influence factors of the birth sex ratio. The result shows that the birth sex ratio of our country has obvious spatial autocorrelation and hierarchical effect. If the effect of the spatial autocorrelation is eliminated, the hierarchical effect disappears. The measurement of spatial error regression model shows that the birth sex ration of China＇s population is influenced by female divorce rate, birth rate, rate of three generations and over three genera- tions families, and the proportion of male and female education.

关 键 词：人口出生性别比 空间自相关 分层效应 

分 类 号：C924.21[社会学—人口学]