水电建设对地方经济发展影响实证研究——以云南省永善县溪洛渡水电站为例  

Empirical study on effect of hydropower construction on development of regional economy:Example of Xiluodu Hydropower Plant in Yongshan County of Yunnan Province

作　　者：周睿萌 雷振[2,3] 唐文哲[2,3] 

机构地区：[1]北京理工大学人文与社会科学学院,北京102488 [2]水沙科学与水利水电工程国家重点实验室,北京100084 [3]清华大学项目管理与建设技术研究所,北京100084

出　　处：《水利经济》2015年第5期43-47,79,共5页Journal of Economics of Water Resources

基　　金：国家自然科学基金(51379104);水沙科学与水利水电工程国家重点实验室项目(2013-KY-5)

摘　　要：基于溪洛渡水电站投资和云南省永善县经济发展数据,采用Granger因果关系检验方法分析水电建设对地区GDP、社会消费和居民收入的影响。研究结果表明,溪洛渡水电站建设投资对永善县GDP、社会消费品零售额和城镇居民人均可支配收入增长具有显著推动作用,但对永善县农民人均收入增长的作用不显著。地方政府应加大转移支付力度,以水电开发建设为契机推动农村基础设施建设和城镇化进程,将水电开发收益惠及更多人群。Based on the investment into Xiluodu Hydropower Plant and the data of economy development in Yongshan County of Yunnan Province,the effects of hydropower construction on regional GDP,social consumption and residential income are investigated by using the Granger causal relation test.The results show that the construction and investment of Xiluodu Hydropower Plant have significant promotion on the increase of GDP, retail sales of social consumption products and disposable income of urban residents in Yongshan County but insignificant function on the increase of income per capita of rural residents.The local government should strengthen transfer payment intensity and promote the construction of infrastructural facility in rural areas and the urbanization process taking advantage of hydropower development so as to benefit more people.

关 键 词：水电建设 经济发展 溪洛渡水电站 永善县 

分 类 号：F407.9[经济管理—产业经济]