基于突变级数理论的太原经济圈城镇化水平研究  

Urbanization Level Evaluation of Taiyuan Economic Circle Based on Catastrophe Progression Method

作　　者：康江江 王发曾[1,2] 丁志伟[1,2] 赵爽[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]河南大学环境与规划学院/黄河中下游数字地理重点实验室,区域发展与规划中心,河南开封475004 [2]中原经济区三化协调发展河南省协同创新中心,河南郑州450046

出　　处：《资源开发与市场》2015年第11期1293-1296,1351,共5页Resource Development & Market

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(编号:41271144);2014年河南省政府决策招标课题项目(编号:2014190);河南大学研究生优秀硕士毕业论文培育项目(编号:Y1425007)

摘　　要：运用综合指标,基于突变级数模型评价了太原经济圈内部研究单元的城镇化水平差异。通过聚类分析与ESDA模型,进一步分析其空间关联特征。研究发现,太原经济圈内部城镇化水平分化大,其中太原市区、孝义市、榆次区位居高水平区,娄烦县、文水县城镇化水平较低。从"介孝汾"城镇群看,汾阳市城镇化水平较低,与介休市、孝义市相比差距很大;从太原都市区看,太原都市区内的太原市区、榆次区城镇化水平很高,而阳曲县、清徐县城镇化水平比较低。基于聚类分析与空间关联特征,结合太原经济圈空间发展战略,给出了提高太原经济圈城镇化水平的建议:1推进太原—榆次一体化进程,发挥太原经济圈的核心增长极辐射作用,加快清徐、阳曲的城镇化发展步伐,推动太原都市区的空间拓展。2以介休为中心,继续推进介休、孝义、汾阳三个次核心城镇群的一体化发展,将灵石县纳入"介孝汾"城镇群中,构建高层次、协同化发展的城镇群。3加强晋中地区太谷、祁县、平遥、交城、文水5县的联动发展,稳步推进该区域城镇化水平的提升。According to the concept connotation, this paper firstly established the comprehensive evaluation indexes and selected 16 units with county scale, used catastrophe progression method combined with cluster analysis methods to evaluate the urbanization level of the Taiyuan Economic Circle. Secondly, it used spatial auto - correlation model to analyze the spatial distribution of urbanization level. This paper drew that the urbanization level of Taiyuan, Yuci was high, Qingxu and Yangqu was relatively low. From the Jie - Xiao - Fen urban agglomeration, the urbanization level of Fenyang was lower compared to Xiaoyi and Jiexiu. From the whole distribution, the urbanization level of Gujiao, Lingshi was at a high level, the rest units were relatively low. Finally, this paper put forward some countermeasures to promote urbanization level of Taiyuan Economic Circle.

关 键 词：城镇化水平 突变级数 太原经济圈 

分 类 号：TV984.2[水利工程—水利水电工程]