2015年上半年蔬菜市场分析及展望  

Vegetable Market in the First Half of 2015 and Its Prospect

作　　者：熊露 李辉尚[1] 王盛威[1] 沈辰[1] 徐克[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业科学院农业信息研究所/农业部农业信息服务技术重点实验室,北京100081

出　　处：《农业展望》2015年第8期12-17,共6页Agricultural Outlook

基　　金：科技部农业科技成果转化资金项目(2013GB23260570)

摘　　要：2015年上半年,中国蔬菜生产继续保持稳定发展态势,市场供给总体充足;蔬菜价格遵循常年波动规律,呈现先涨后跌的整体趋势,运行总体平稳。同期,蔬菜出口量、额同比均有所增加,进口量、额稳中略减,继续保持贸易顺差格局,且同比有所扩大。预计下半年,中国蔬菜生产将继续保持稳定发展,市场供给有保障,菜价的季节性波动特征仍较为明显,天气等因素可能影响个别品种价格的异常波动。随着一系列对外贸易战略实施和政策落地,中国蔬菜出口比较优势将进一步显现,进出口将继续保持活跃态势,贸易顺差格局有望继续扩大。In the first half of 2015, China＇s vegetable production remained stable and the supply was adequate in general. The price rose and then fell, following the annual fluctuation and the trend of price was smooth on the whole. At the same time, the volume and value of vegetable export increased year-on-year and those of import slightly reduced. The trade surplus of vegetable continued and expanded. Looking forward to the second half of 2015, China＇s vegetable production will continue to maintain stable and guarantee ample supply while seasonal fluctuations of vegetables price will still be obvious. Weather and other factors will influence the price of individual species. With the implementing of a series of foreign trade strategies and policies, China＇s comparative advantage of vegetable export will emerge further, import and export will remain active and the trade surplus is expected to expand.

关 键 词：蔬菜 市场形势 生产 价格 贸易 展望 

分 类 号：F323.7[经济管理—产业经济]