西部地区物流网络化与区域工业化动态关系研究  

Dynamic relationship between Logistics Network Level and regional industrialization in Western China

作　　者：王春豪[1,2] 张杰[1] 

机构地区：[1]对外经济贸易大学国际商学院,北京100029 [2]石河子大学商学院,石河子832000

出　　处：《干旱区资源与环境》2015年第10期8-13,共6页Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(71363046);教育部人文社会科学研究新疆项目(12XJJC790004);教育部人文社会科学研究青年项目(13YJC790198)资助

摘　　要：基于西部地区1993-2013年统计数据,构建物流网络化和区域工业化指标体系,采用主成分分析和计量模型分析法,对物流网络化与区域工业化的动态关系进行实证分析。研究发现:西部地区物流网络化与区域工业化之间存在长期均衡关系,但短期内会偏离这种均衡状态,偏离程度达85.12%;长期内物流基础设施网络化对区域工业化影响较大,弹性系数为0.6813,短期内物流组织网络化、物流基础设施网络化对区域工业化影响相当,弹性系数分别为0.582、0.5162。在滞后1-4期内,物流基础设施网络化均是引起区域工业化变化的格兰杰原因,滞后2、3期时,二者互为格兰杰因果关系;在滞后1、2期时,区域工业化是引起物流组织网络化变化的格兰杰原因,滞后4期时,二者互为格兰杰因果关系。Based on the data from 1993 to 2013 of Western China,the article established an index system to assess logistics network level and regional industrialization,analyzed the dynamic relationship between logistics network level and regional industrialization by Principle Component Analysis and Econometric Models. The research results showed that the logistics network and regional industrialization had a long- term balanced relationship,but the equilibrium would be deviated in short- term. The logistics infrastructure network had bigger influence on regional industrialization in the long- term,and the elasticity coefficient was 0. 6813. The logistics infrastructure network and logistics organization network had the same impact on regional industrialization,and their elasticity coefficients were 0. 582 and 0. 5126 separately in short- term. The logistics infrastructure network was the Granger reason of regional industrialization in first- order lag to fourth- order lag,and they were Inter- Granger causality in second- order lag and third- order lag. The regional industrialization was the Granger reason of logistics organization network in first- order lag and second- order lag,and they were Inter- Granger causality in fourth- order lag.

关 键 词：西部地区 物流网络化水平 区域工业化 

分 类 号：F71[经济管理—产业经济]