基于动态偏离-份额模型的广东省农业产业结构和竞争力研究  

Industrial Structure and Competitiveness of Agriculture in Guangdong Province Based on Dynamic Shift-Share Analysis Model

作　　者：王贝贝[1] 肖海峰[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国农业大学经济管理学院,北京100083

出　　处：《科技管理研究》2015年第19期41-46,共6页Science and Technology Management Research

基　　金：中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目"中国农业发展:对策与国际经验"(2015RW007);农业部和财政部项目"国家现代农业(绒毛用羊)产业技术体系产业经济研究"(CARS-40-20)

摘　　要：利用动态偏离-份额模型对2003-2012年广东省农业产业结构和竞争力进行研究,发现除农林牧渔服务业外,广东省农业及其种植业、林业、牧业和渔业部门的发展主要依靠全国农业发展带动;广东省农业结构调整取得了一定成果,但种植业和牧业结构尚需调整;广东省农业及其部门发展均缺乏竞争力,并且除农林牧渔服务业以外,竞争弱势是制约各部门发展的首因。所以,在调整农业结构的进程中,提升农业竞争力将卓有成效地促进广东省农业发展。Dynamic Shift - Share Analysis Model is applied to study industrial structure and competitiveness of agriculture in Guangdong province between 2003 and 2012. The results show that the development of agriculture and its fanning, for- estry, animal husbandry and fishery sectors in Guangdong province are mainly driven by the country＇s development; the structural adjustment of agriculture in Guangdong province has been influenced, but the structural effect is negative in farm- ing and animal husbandry sectors whose internal structure still need to be adjusted; uncompetitiveness has been found in ag- riculture and its sectors which is the main factor limiting their development. Therefore, enhancing the competitiveness of ag- riculture in the process of structural adjustment would be more effective in promoting the agriculture development in Guang- dang province.

关 键 词：广东 农业 结构 竞争力 动态偏离-份额模型 

分 类 号：F327[经济管理—产业经济]