海洋科技成果转化率测算与预测研究  

Calculating and Forecasting of Marine Science and Technology Transfer Rate

作　　者：刘大海[1,2] 李晓璇[1,2] 王春娟[1] 鲁景亮[3] 高俊国[1,2] 

机构地区：[1]国家海洋局第一海洋研究所,山东青岛266061 [2]中国海洋大学,山东青岛266100 [3]中国科学院兰州文献情报中心,甘肃兰州730000

出　　处：《海洋经济》2015年第2期18-22,共5页Marine Economy

基　　金：海洋公益性行业科研专项经费项目"海洋强国建设的评价体系研究及应用"[2014418029];海洋科技创新总体规划支撑项目"支撑海洋强国建设的海洋科技创新成果转化率和科技贡献率研究"[2114011];基本科研业务费专项资金项目"海洋科技创新战略研究"[0214T08]

摘　　要：通过回顾科技成果转化率相关研究,归纳出科技成果转化率的内涵,并根据海洋领域实际情况,给出海洋科技成果转化率的定义;基于该定义,定量测算我国2000—2012年期间的海洋科技成果转化率;运用趋势外推法开展2015年、2020年、2030年、2050年我国海洋科技成果转化率预测研究,并进行对比分析;针对以上测算与预测研究结果,提出促进我国海洋科技成果转化的对策建议。After reviewing the research about marine science and technology transfer rateat home and abroad, this paper generalizes the concept and connotation of marine scienceand technology transfer rate. Based on the different scopes of the connotations, this papercalculates the marine science and technology transfer rate of our country in the period2000-2012, and explores the appropriate method to calculate the marine science andtechnology transfer rate which is suitable for the current development situation in theoceanic field in China, to quantitatively analyze the transformation level of marine scienceand technology achievements of our country. Then, this paper uses the trend extrapolationto forecast the marine science and technology transfer rate of our country in 2015, 2020,2030, 2050, analyzes the gap of marine science and technology transfer rate between theoceanic field and other areas in China, and puts forward countermeasures and suggestionsfor promoting the marine science and technology transfer rate of our country.

关 键 词：海洋科技 成果转化 科技成果转化率 预测分析 

分 类 号：F224.9[经济管理—国民经济]