机构地区:[1]中国医学科学院北京协和医学院北京协和医院重症医学科,100730
出 处:《中华内科杂志》2015年第10期855-859,共5页Chinese Journal of Internal Medicine
基 金:首都卫生发展科研专项项目(首发2011-4001-05)
摘 要:目的 探讨中心静脉压(CVP)、中心静脉血氧饱和度(ScvO2)、静-动脉血二氧化碳分压差(Pv-aCO2)联合诊断感染性休克相关左心功能不全的价值.方法 选2013年9月至2014年9月北京协和医院重症医学科诊治的感染性休克患者93例,记录CVP、ScvO2、Pv-aCO2.以超声心动图检测左室射血分数<50%为标准,将患者分为新发左心功能不全组和未发左心功能不全组.使用logistic回归建立诊断模型,通过ROC曲线评价各指标单独及联合诊断的价值.结果 93例感染性休克患者中,39例发生左心功能不全.新发左心功能不全组CVP[(12.5±3.9)mmHg(1 mmHg=0.133 kPa)比(10.4±2.5)mmHg,P=0.005]、Pv-aCO2[(7.5±3.9) mmHg比(4.5±2.6) mmHg,P <0.001]显著高于未发左心功能不全组,ScvO2显著低于未发左心功能不全组[(62.4±10.5)%比(72.6±9.0)%,P<0.001],差异有统计学意义.采用CVP、Pv-aCO2、ScvO2诊断新发左心功能不全时,CVP≥12.5 mmHg敏感度为46.2%,特异度为81.5%,AUCROC为0.674;Pv-aCO2 ≥5.0 mmHg敏感度为76.9%,特异度为37.0%,AUCRoC为0.738;ScvO2≤65.8%敏感度为64.1%,特异度为78.6%,AUCROC为0.775.以logistic回归预测概率作为诊断指标、根据ROC曲线确定界值,诊断模型≥0.377,敏感度为82.1%,特异度为79.6%,AUCROC为0.835.结论 对感染性休克患者是否发生左心功能不仝,通过Pv-aCO2、ScvO2、CVP建立logistic回归模型,利用预测概率进行辅助诊断具有一定价值。Objective To evaluate the value of central venous pressure (CVP),central venous oxygen saturation (ScvO2) and venous-arterial carbon dioxide partial pressure gradient (Pv-aCO2) in the diagnosis of septic shock-induced left ventricular dysfunction.Methods Consecutive patients with septic shock were enrolled from September 2013 to September 2014 in ICU at Peking Union Medical College Hospital.The data of CVP,Pv-aCO2 and ScvO2 were recorded and analyzed.According to the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) tested by bedside echocardiography,the patients were divided into two groups:new onset of left ventricular dysfunction (LVEF 〈 50%) group and non-left ventricular dysfunction (LVEF ≥ 50%) group.A diagnostic model was created by logistic regression.The diagnostic performance and cut-off values of CVP,Pv-aCO2,ScvO2 were determined using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.Results Among 93 patients enrolled,39 were diagnosed with left ventricular dysfunction.In the new onset group,CVP [(12.5±3.9) mmHg(1 mmHg=0.133 kPa) vs (10.4±2.5)mmHg;P=0.005] and Pv-aCO2 [(7.5 ± 3.9) mmHg vs (4.5 ± 2.6) mmHg;P 〈 0.001] were significantly higher than those in the non-left ventricular dysfunction group,while ScvO2 [(62.4 ± 10.5) % vs (72.6 ± 9.0) %;P 〈 0.001] was significantly lower.As far as the diagnostic value of these three parameters were concerned for left ventricular dysfunction,the sensitivity of CVP ≥ 12.5 mmHg was 46.2%,specificity 81.5% with an area under ROC curve (AUCROC) 0.674;the sensitivity of Pv-aCO2 ≥ 5.0 mmHg 76.9%,specificity 37.0%,AUCROC 0.738;the sensitivity of ScvO2 ≤65.8% 64.1%,specificity 78.6%,AUCROC 0.775.When the cut-off values were determined by ROC,the diagnostic performance of the model was ≥0.377 with the sensitivity,specificity and AUCROC 82.1%,79.6% and 0.835,respectively.Conclusion In patients with septic shock,the logistic regression model established by CVP,Pv-aCO2 and ScvO2 contributes to
关 键 词:休克 脓毒性 左心功能不全 中心静脉压 LOGISTIC模型
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