不确定环境下超大型集装箱船营运经济性分析  

Economic Analysis for Ultra Large Containerships Subject to Fluctuating Market Factors

作　　者：朱墨[1] 章强[1] 

机构地区：[1]上海海事大学交通运输学院,上海201306

出　　处：《中国航海》2015年第3期121-125,共5页Navigation of China

基　　金：上海海事大学研究生创新项目(2013ycx056)

摘　　要：为分析超大型集装箱船实际营运的经济效益,研究主要因素对船舶营运效益的影响程度,以远东至西北欧航线上营运的13 000 TEU和16 000 TEU型船为例,以净现值为指标,通过调研获取数据,建立船舶全寿命期年度收益模型来计算2种船型的实际营运经济效益。结果表明:对于航运企业而言,大型船舶在一定市场条件和载箱率水平下的确具有更优的营运经济效益。此外,对运价和船价进行经济指标敏感性分析发现,在其他条件不变的情况下,运价变动对超大型集装箱船营运经济指标的影响程度明显大于船价的变动。Based on the analysis targeting to the containerships with capacities of 13 000 TEU and 16 000 TEU operating in the Asia-Europe corridor respectively, the main factors influencing containership maximization is described, as well as the results of the economic efficiencies of these vessels for their lifetime service span, and uses the NPV index as a key determinant to choose more appropriate capacity of the two options presented in this analysis. Under certain market conditions, the larger containership brings greater economic efficiency. Finally, with a sensitivity analysis of freight rates and vessel purchasing prices, and all other conditions being stable, the freight rate has a greater influence on economic efficiency than the ship＇s acquisition price.

关 键 词：交通运输经济学 超大型集装箱船 营运经济性 影响因素 敏感性分析 

分 类 号：F551[经济管理—产业经济] U674.131[交通运输工程—船舶及航道工程]