Support Vector Machine Cost Estimation Model for Road Projects  

作　　者：Nabil Ibrahim El-Sawalhi 

机构地区：[1]Faculty of Engineering, lslamic University, Gaza 00972, Palestine

出　　处：《Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture》2015年第9期1115-1125,共11页土木工程与建筑（英文版）

摘　　要：A cost estimate is one of the most important steps in road project management. There are ranges of factors that mostly affect the final project cost. Many approaches were used to estimate project cost, which took into consideration probable project performance and risks. The aim is to improve the ability of construction managers to predict a parametric cost estimate for road projects using SVM （support vector machine）. The work is based on collecting historical road executed cases. The 12 factors were identified to be the most important factors affecting the cost-estimating model. A total of 70 case studies from historical data were divided randomly into three sets： training set includes 60 cases, cross validation set includes three cases and testing set includes seven cases. The built model was successfully able to predict project cost to the AP （accuracy performance） of 95%.

关 键 词：Road projects parametric cost estimation support vector machine cross validation. 

分 类 号：TP181[自动化与计算机技术—控制理论与控制工程] TP311.5[自动化与计算机技术—控制科学与工程]