中国城市化、人口老龄化对居民消费的影响  

Influences on the residents' consumption by China's urbanization and population aging

作　　者：于洋[1] 钱强[1] 王雅彤 

机构地区：[1]北京化工大学经济管理学院

出　　处：《城市问题》2015年第10期69-73,共5页Urban Problems

基　　金：国家自然科学基金项目(21177008)

摘　　要：通过使用动态面板系统GMM方法进行估计,发现城市化对居民消费具有显著的正向作用,城市化的提高有助于消费的提升;少儿抚养比和老年抚养比对居民消费均具有显著的正向影响;少儿抚养比的降低会抑制消费,而老年抚养比的上升会促进消费,且这种促进作用大于少儿抚养比的抑制作用。Using the provincial panel data from 1997 to 2013, this essay examines the influence of urbanization and pop- ulation ageing on the residents＇ consumption. By using dynamic panel system GMM model, it is found that the improvement of urbanization is positively promoting to the residents＇ consump- tion. Children＇ s dependency ratio and elderly dependency ratio are both positively promoting to the consumption, and the reduc- tion of children＇ s dependency ratio can suppress the consump- tion, the rise of elderly dependency ratio can promote consump- tion which is greater than the inhibitory effect of children＇ s de- pendeney ratio.

关 键 词：城市化 老龄化 消费 系统GMM 

分 类 号：F126.1[经济管理—世界经济]