陕西省2009-2014年流行性腮腺炎发病热点及异常点分析  

Morbidity hotspots and outliers analysis of mumps in Shaanxi Province( 2009-2014)

作　　者：曹磊[1] 刘峰[1] 张义[1] 邓勇[1] 陈飒[1] 张志成[1] 周体操[1] 

机构地区：[1]陕西省疾病预防控制中心,西安710054

出　　处：《公共卫生与预防医学》2015年第5期18-21,共4页Journal of Public Health and Preventive Medicine

摘　　要：目的探索陕西省2009-2014年流行性腮腺炎发病的空间分布特征及变化趋势,为预防和控制流腮提供依据。方法用SPSS 18.0软件进行流行性腮腺炎年度发病率及人群分布特征的统计描述;用Arc Map 10.2.2软件进行流行性腮腺炎发病热点及异常点分析。结果 2009-2014年,安康、汉中等地为发病热点地区,延安、榆林为低发病区,2010年和2011年宝鸡、西安部分县区出现高发;异常点分析显示,2011年和2012年,低发病区出现神木、吴堡、黄龙等异常高发点,高发病区出现西乡、石泉、汉阴等异常低发点。结论陕西省流行性腮腺炎发病存在空间相关性,探测流行性腮腺炎发病热点及异常点,为流行性腮腺炎发病的预测及防控提供依据。Objective To explore the spatial distribution characteristics and trend of mumps in Shaanxi Province from 2009 to 2014, and provide a basis for the prevention and control of mumps. Methods Using SPSS 18. 0 software to conduct annual incidence of mumps and statistical description of population distribution; Using Arc Map 10. 2. 2 software to analyze the morbidity hotspots and outliers of mumps. Results An Kang City and Han Zhong City were the morbidity hotspots from 2009 to 2014,hotspots occurred in some counties of Bao Ji City and Xi＇an City in 2010 and 2011 ,Yan An City and Yu Lin City were low incidence areas; Outliers analysis showed that in 2011 and 2012,in low incidence area, high incidence points occurred in Shen Mu county, Wu Bu county and Huang Long county ; while in high-risk area, low incidence points occurred in Xi Xiang county, Shi Quan county and Han Yin county. Conclusion The morbidity of mumps of Shaanxi Provincial showed a spatial correlation, detecting morbidity hotspots and outliers of mumps, can provide a basis for the prediction, prevention and control of mumps.

关 键 词：流行性腮腺炎 空间自相关分析 

分 类 号：R512.11[医药卫生—内科学]