中国城市青年的住房来源及其影响因素——基于独生属性和流动特征的实证分析  

Housing Sources and Its Determinants of China's Urban Youth:Empirical Analysis Based on Only-Child Property and Floating Features

作　　者：宋健[1] 李静[1] 

机构地区：[1]中国人民大学社会与人口学院,北京100872

出　　处：《人口学刊》2015年第6期14-24,共11页Population Journal

基　　金：中国人民大学科学研究基金(中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助)项目:独生子女时代的中国社会政策研究(10XNJ025)

摘　　要：住房是实现青年安居乐业的重要条件之一。本文从社会分层理论出发,基于2009年中国城市青年状况调查数据,利用方差分析和无序多分类Logistic回归模型,着重从独生子女属性、流动特征和婚育状态等多角度实证分析城市青年的住房来源及其影响因素。研究发现城市独生子女更可能购买住房,但需要父母的帮助;流动状态会降低青年购买住房的可能性,增加租房居住的概率。结婚和生育是影响青年住房来源的重要生命事件:初婚会显著提高其购买住房的可能性;生育对于非独生子女购买住房比例增加也有作用。家庭特征和个人特征均会对青年的住房来源产生影响。解决青年的住房问题有助于降低社会分化,促进社会稳定。Housing problem has been one of the important economic,social and livelihood issues for youth.Based on the data of 2009 National Urban Youth Survey,ANOVA and multinomial logistic regression areused to analyze housing sources and its determinants of urban youth from the perspective of only-childproperty,floating features and marriage status. It turns out that housing stratification exists among the urbanyouth. Compared with their counterparts who have siblings,only-children are more likely to purchase hous-es,but mostly with the aid of their parents. The floating status of youth may lessen the probability of pur-chasing houses,and make youth more likely to rent houses. The first marriage will dramatically increase theprobability of purchasing houses for the youth,and childbearing will increase the probability of purchasinghouses for non-only-children. Besides,family and personal characteristics also have significant effects onhousing sources of youth. Solving the housing problem of youth will contribute to reducing the social differ-entiation and promoting the social stability.

关 键 词：城市青年 住房来源 独生子女 流动特征 生命事件 

分 类 号：C924.24[社会学—人口学]