城市农民工社会保障与市民化意愿  

Rural Migrants' Social Security and Their Willingness to Be Urban Citizens

作　　者：王桂新[1] 胡健[1] 

机构地区：[1]复旦大学人口研究所,上海200433

出　　处：《人口学刊》2015年第6期45-55,共11页Population Journal

基　　金：国家科技支撑项目子课题:流动人口对区域发展的影响评估及决策支持集成平台示范应用(2012BA132B07-03);复旦大学"985工程"三期整体推进社会科学研究项目:我国城市化中后期发展若干重大问题研究(2011SHKXZD010)

摘　　要：在考察城市农民工社会保障状况的基础上,利用2011年全国流动人口抽样调查数据和二元逻辑斯蒂回归模型,定量分析我国城市农民工社会保障对其市民化意愿的影响。研究发现,就业保障、社会保险、住房保障及教育保障等社会保障状况对城市农民工市民化意愿具有显著正向影响,其中尤以养老保险和子女教育等社会保障状况的影响更显著。城市农民工的年龄、婚姻状况、受教育水平等个人属性特征与迁入地发展水平、城乡收入差距等其他社会经济要素对其市民化意愿也有明显影响,年龄越大、在婚、受教育水平越高的农民工市民化意愿越强烈;迁入越发达地区的农民工市民化意愿越大;城乡收入差距越大,农民工市民化意愿越大。要实施新型城镇化规划,推进农民工市民化进程,首先要努力提高其社会保障水平,特别要改善和提高农民工养老保险和子女教育的状况和水平;同时要缩小城乡收入差距,把新型城镇化规划中的实现"1亿农民工市民化"重点放在东部地区。Based on the inspection of the rural migrants＇ social security,using the national sampling surveydata on migrants in 2011 and binary logistical regression model,this article studied the effect of rural mi-grants＇ social security on their willingness to be urban citizens. The results manifests that job security,so-cial insurance,housing security,education security and other social security have a significant impact onthe rural migrants＇ willingness to be urban citizens,especially the pension insurance and children＇s educa-tion. Rural migrants＇ personal characters,such as age,marriage status,human capital,and socio-econom-ic factors,such as the regional development level,urban-rural income gap,have obvious impact on theirwillingness to be citizens. The rural migrants who are older,married,educated are more willing to be citi-zens. The one who migrates into developed regions is more likely to become citizens. The larger the gap be-tween urban and rural income,the stronger the rural migrants＇ willingness to be citizens. In order to imple-ment new urbanization plan,propel rural migrants＇ citizenization process,the first thing should be done isimproving their social security level,especially improving their pension insurance and children＇s educa-tion;At the same time,narrowing the urban-rural income gap,and focusing on eastern area to realize the100 million rural migrants＇ citizenization.

关 键 词：农民工 社会保障 市民化意愿 

分 类 号：C922[社会学—人口学]