经济区产业结构变动对生态环境的动态效应分析——以呼包银榆经济区为例  

Analysis of Dynamic Effect of Industrial Structure Change on Ecological Environment in Economic Zones—Taking Hu-Bao-Yin-YU Economic Zone as An Example

作　　者：杨建林[1,2] 徐君[2,3] 

机构地区：[1]西安交通大学人文与社会科学学院,中国陕西西安710049 [2]内蒙古科技大学,中国内蒙古包头014010 [3]内蒙古科技大学经济与管理学院,中国内蒙古包头014010

出　　处：《经济地理》2015年第10期179-186,共8页Economic Geography

基　　金：内蒙古自治区重点研究基地呼包银榆经济区研究中心资助;内蒙社会科学基金重点项目(2013A004)

摘　　要：以呼包银榆经济区为例,采用2000—2012年呼包银榆经济区的统计数据,运用典型相关法、协整检验、脉冲响应函数及方差分解法,在分析呼包银榆经济区与生态环境相关性的基础上,进一步检验和分析了经济区产业结构变动对生态环境的动态效应,结果表明:1经济区第一产业、第二产业和生态环境相关性较高,且二者和固体环境、大气环境相关性最大。2经济区产业结构和生态环境存在长期动态均衡关系,其中,第二、三产业与水环境质量呈正协整关系,第一产业与其呈负协整关系;第一、三产业与大气环境呈负协整关系;第二产业、第三产业与固体环境质量呈正协整关系,第一产业与其存在负协整关系。3经济区产业结构对生态环境产生动态效应。其中,第一产业比重增加会引起生态环境较小幅度污染,且随着时间的推移影响逐步减弱;第二产业比重增加会引起生态环境较大幅度污染,其对工业固体废弃物排放量影响最大,工业废气排放量次之,工业废水排放量最小,且随着时间的推移保持相对稳定态势;第三产业比重增加对生态环境有一定程度的改善。因此,产业结构不断优化是改善生态环境质量的重要因素。This paper takes the Hu-Bao-Yin-Yu Economic Zone as an example, using the statistical data of Hu-Bao-YinYu Economic Zone during 2000- 2012, with Canonical Correlation Method, Co Integration Test, Impulse Response Function and Variance Decomposition Method, on the base of the analysis of the correlation between Hu- Bao- Yin- Yu Economic Zone and ecological environment, it examines and analyzes the dynamic effects of the economic zone industry structure change on the ecological environment. The research result shows： 1）Primary industry and secondary industry of economic zone are highly correlative with ecological environment, and the two industries are largest correlated with solid environment and atmospheric environment. 2）There is a long-term dynamic equilibriums relationship between industrial structure and ecological environment of the economic zone. Among them, there is positively co- integration relationship between the second industry, the third industry and the water environment quality, while the co-integration relationship is negative between the first industry and the water environment quality. There is negative co- integration relationship between the first industry, the third industry and the solid environment quality. There is positively co- integration relationship between the second industry, the third industry and the solid environment quality, while the co- integration relationship is negative between the first industry and the solid environment quality. 3）Industry structure of the economic zone has dynamic effects on the ecological environment. Increasing the proportion of the first industry will cause the small amplitude pollution of the ecological environment, and the influence gets progressively less as time goes by;Increasing the proportion of the second industry will cause greatly pollution of the ecological environment, and its impact is the greatest on the industrial solid waste emissions, less on the industrial waste gas emissions, and the minimal on the emissions of industrial wa

关 键 词：产业结构变动 生态环境 呼包银榆经济区 

分 类 号：F121.3[经济管理—世界经济]